PolyBot

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Traders

0xb43325b837f9d849c39d11fcb8cbdbf17f9e09e0

0xb43325b837f9d849c39d11fcb8cbdbf17f9e09e0

Realised P&L
$4.77
Volume
$206.35
Markets traded
8
Open portfolio
$4.74

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded8
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration92.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 23? · Yes0.5300.555$2.35+$0.11
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 23? · Yes0.0100.007$1.25$0.41
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on September 23? · Yes0.2500.235$1.15$0.07
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on September 22? · Yes0.3100.001$0.00$1.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 16:43Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on September 23?BUY0.25$1.22
09-22 16:24Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 23?BUY0.01$1.66
09-22 14:16Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 23?BUY0.5299999006$2.24
09-22 13:59Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on September 22?SELL0.98$8.64
09-21 23:43Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on September 22?BUY0.3099999793$1.50
09-21 23:42Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on September 22?BUY0.1699999887$1.50
09-20 22:29Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on September 21?BUY0.4399999275$1.70
09-20 21:34Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 21?BUY0.29999994$1.00
09-20 21:32Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 21?BUY0.64$1.00