0xb43325b837f9d849c39d11fcb8cbdbf17f9e09e0
0xb43325b837f9d849c39d11fcb8cbdbf17f9e09e0
- Realised P&L
- $4.77
- Volume
- $206.35
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $4.74
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration92.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 23? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.555 | $2.35 | +$0.11 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 23? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.007 | $1.25 | −$0.41 |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on September 23? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.235 | $1.15 | −$0.07 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on September 22? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.02at 0.178Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on September 22?
- +$0.54at 0.655Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 21?
- +$-1.04at 0.312Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 21?
- +$-1.76at 0.455Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on September 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 16:43 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on September 23? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.22 |
| 09-22 16:24 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.66 |
| 09-22 14:16 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.5299999006 | $2.24 |
| 09-22 13:59 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.98 | $8.64 |
| 09-21 23:43 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.3099999793 | $1.50 |
| 09-21 23:42 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.1699999887 | $1.50 |
| 09-20 22:29 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on September 21? | BUY | 0.4399999275 | $1.70 |
| 09-20 21:34 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 21:32 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |