PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

PM666

0xb42b2fceb73c5ac90595a8339926755bbbe2afe0

Realised P&L
$-1.1k
Volume
$2.48M
Markets traded
685
Open portfolio
$26.76

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded685
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 on October 6? · Yes0.7800.150$15.75−$66.15
Will Robinhood Chain launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0970.028$3.68−$9.08
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? · Yes0.1080.121$3.02+$0.33
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.3400.050$2.72−$15.78
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? · Yes0.0600.053$1.59−$0.21

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-06 06:06Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 on October 6?BUY0.78$81.90
09-27 07:58Will Ethereum reach $2,750 on September 27?BUY0.49$24.50
09-27 07:58Will Ethereum reach $2,800 September 21-27?BUY0.09$1.80
09-22 14:58Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on September 22?BUY0.49$2.45
09-22 14:58Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on September 22?BUY0.49$4.90
09-22 14:57Will Bitcoin reach $89,000 on September 22?BUY0.028$2.80
09-22 14:57Will Bitcoin reach $89,000 on September 22?BUY0.027$21.60
09-22 05:20Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 on September 22?BUY0.93$6.51
09-21 14:37Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on September 21?SELL0.9490675944$9.55
09-21 13:52Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on September 21?BUY0.904$9.09
09-21 12:58Will Ethereum reach $3,000 on September 21?BUY0.019$2.47
09-21 00:21Will Ethereum reach $2,750 on September 20?BUY0.097$1.61
09-21 00:20Will Ethereum reach $2,700 on September 20?BUY0.77$16.74
09-21 00:16Will Ethereum reach $2,700 on September 20?BUY0.516$5.34
09-21 00:15Will Ethereum reach $2,700 on September 20?BUY0.515$12.51