ChaosStake
0xb4272557ce308c7182fc48b4d6716b744e8e4c62
- Realised P&L
- $-2.9k
- Volume
- $762.2k
- Markets traded
- 2,983
- Open portfolio
- $3.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,983
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration4.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$454.55at 0.091Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 3?
- +$454.55at 0.091Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C or below on August 2?
- +$454.55at 0.091Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 4?
- +$454.55at 0.091Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 3?
- +$454.55at 0.091Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C or higher on August 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 04:01 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 17°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.22 |
| 11-02 04:01 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.15 |
| 11-02 04:01 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.28 |
| 10-31 16:02 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.40 |
| 10-31 16:01 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.40 |
| 10-31 16:01 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.40 |
| 10-31 16:01 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.40 |
| 10-31 16:01 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.40 |
| 10-31 16:01 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 17°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.18 |
| 10-31 06:01 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 31? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.21 |
| 10-31 06:01 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 31? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.29 |
| 10-31 06:01 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 31? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.40 |
| 10-31 06:00 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on October 31? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.07 |
| 10-31 05:00 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 31? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.07 |
| 10-31 05:00 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 31? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.10 |