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Traders

ChaosStake

0xb4272557ce308c7182fc48b4d6716b744e8e4c62

Realised P&L
$-2.9k
Volume
$762.2k
Markets traded
2,983
Open portfolio
$3.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,983
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration4.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on November 2? · Yes0.0910.760$304.00+$267.64
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on November 2? · Yes0.0910.672$269.00+$232.64
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on November 2? · Yes0.0910.560$224.00+$187.64
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on November 2? · Yes0.0910.530$212.00+$175.64
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on November 2? · Yes0.0910.495$198.00+$161.64
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 2? · Yes0.0910.450$180.00+$143.64
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on November 2? · Yes0.0910.420$168.00+$131.64
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on November 2? · Yes0.0910.420$168.00+$131.64
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on November 2? · Yes0.0910.415$166.00+$129.64
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on November 2? · Yes0.0910.410$164.00+$127.64
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on November 2? · Yes0.0910.385$154.00+$117.64
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on November 2? · Yes0.0910.355$142.00+$105.64
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on November 2? · Yes0.0910.275$110.00+$73.64
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on November 2? · Yes0.0910.260$104.00+$67.64
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on November 2? · Yes0.0910.230$92.00+$55.64

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 04:01Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 17°C on November 2?SELL0.001$0.22
11-02 04:01Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on November 2?SELL0.001$0.15
11-02 04:01Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on November 2?SELL0.001$0.28
10-31 16:02Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?SELL0.001$0.40
10-31 16:01Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on November 1?SELL0.001$0.40
10-31 16:01Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on November 1?SELL0.001$0.40
10-31 16:01Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on November 1?SELL0.001$0.40
10-31 16:01Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on November 1?SELL0.001$0.40
10-31 16:01Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 17°C on November 1?SELL0.001$0.18
10-31 06:01Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 31?SELL0.001$0.21
10-31 06:01Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 31?SELL0.001$0.29
10-31 06:01Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 31?SELL0.001$0.40
10-31 06:00Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on October 31?SELL0.001$0.07
10-31 05:00Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 31?SELL0.001$0.07
10-31 05:00Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 31?SELL0.001$0.10