paperispols
0xb4125e29809f36749a67cc04880da9db1f59e794
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $737.2k
- Markets traded
- 9,164
- Open portfolio
- $2.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded9,164
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration5.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.8kat 0.094Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
- +$1.6kat 0.102Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
- +$495.31at 0.389Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
- +$480.94at 0.411Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
- +$388.80at 0.517Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 01:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $31.20 |
| 11-02 01:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET | BUY | 0.74 | $44.40 |
| 11-02 01:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET | BUY | 0.78 | $10.95 |
| 11-02 01:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET | BUY | 0.75 | $36.71 |
| 11-02 01:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET | BUY | 0.71 | $7.85 |
| 11-02 01:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET | BUY | 0.3627386849 | $22.20 |
| 11-02 01:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8PM ET | SELL | 0.84 | $25.20 |
| 11-02 01:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8PM ET | BUY | 0.68 | $10.20 |
| 11-02 01:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET | BUY | 0.6771106619 | $40.80 |
| 11-02 00:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET | SELL | 0.0729078014 | $0.51 |
| 11-02 00:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET | SELL | 0.48 | $163.62 |
| 11-02 00:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET | SELL | 0.4535233333 | $27.21 |
| 11-02 00:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $144.00 |
| 11-02 00:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET | SELL | 0.5323333333 | $31.94 |
| 11-02 00:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET | BUY | 0.54 | $45.90 |