PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xb4107ad3a525fd6fd34642c263c05be05331a6fa

Realised P&L
$1.25
Volume
$83.30
Markets traded
38
Open portfolio
$6.69

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded38
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample31 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)45.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $177 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes0.4300.650$1.51+$0.51
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 14 2026? · No0.7200.820$1.14+$0.14
Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.3900.415$1.06+$0.06
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes0.5600.595$1.06+$0.06
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference? · Yes0.7800.775$0.99$0.01
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $336 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes0.6600.600$0.91$0.09
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · No0.7400.006$0.01$0.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 18:16Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference?BUY0.78$1.00
09-15 09:13Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.3899999337$1.00
09-14 23:12Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.7199999424$1.00
09-14 15:04Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $177 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.4299998882$1.00
09-14 07:03Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.559999776$1.00
09-13 23:03Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $336 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.6599997888$1.00
09-11 02:44Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of September 7 2026?BUY0.2299999517$1.00
09-10 18:09Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?BUY0.7299994744$1.00
09-10 09:48Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $65 Week of September 7 2026?BUY0.4399998592$1.00
09-09 22:08Will Trump say "Radical Left" during RNC Convention?BUY0.3499999825$1.00
09-09 13:44US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?BUY0.4399998592$1.00
09-08 05:16Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 7 2026?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
09-07 18:13US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?BUY0.3699998631$1.00
09-03 08:44Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?BUY0.8$1.00
09-02 23:12Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $176 Week of August 31 2026?BUY0.429999828$1.00