0xb4107ad3a525fd6fd34642c263c05be05331a6fa
- Realised P&L
- $1.25
- Volume
- $83.30
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $6.69
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $177 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.650 | $1.51 | +$0.51 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.720 | 0.820 | $1.14 | +$0.14 |
| Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.415 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
| Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.595 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
| Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference? · Yes | 0.780 | 0.775 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $336 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.600 | $0.91 | −$0.09 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · No | 0.740 | 0.006 | $0.01 | −$0.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.32at 0.237Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$2.97at 0.258Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $316 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$2.31at 0.308Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
- +$1.75at 0.369Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during his rally with Darline Graham?
- +$1.30at 0.440Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $176 Week of August 31 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 18:16 | Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 09:13 | Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 23:12 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 15:04 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $177 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 07:03 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 23:03 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $336 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 02:44 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 18:09 | Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.7299994744 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 09:48 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $65 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 22:08 | Will Trump say "Radical Left" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 13:44 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 05:16 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 18:13 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.3699998631 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 08:44 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-02 23:12 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $176 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.429999828 | $1.00 |