PolyBot

Browsing is read-only · trading funds are held by PolyBot

Sign in

Traders

0xB4077D7ecB09E5478305fB0c71Bc176a5EDa252c-1772320937442

0xb4077d7ecb09e5478305fb0c71bc176a5eda252c

Realised P&L
$-3.9k
Volume
$144.4k
Markets traded
220
Open portfolio
$4.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded220
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? · No0.7500.925$616.67+$116.67
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7600.835$549.34+$49.34
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? · No0.9400.944$502.00+$2.00
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.5260.335$477.69$272.31
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? · No0.4700.590$313.83+$63.83
Ukraine strikes another tanker in the Caspian Sea by August 31, 2026? · No0.8430.835$297.07$2.93
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.9390.912$291.45$8.55
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? · Yes0.8700.725$250.00$50.00
Will Ursula von der Leyen visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6500.635$222.25$5.25
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? · No0.8500.865$203.53+$3.53
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.6200.484$156.29$43.71
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · No0.6500.650$100.00+$0.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET · Up0.8650.000$0.00$775.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET · Down0.5220.000$0.00$70.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET · Up0.1960.000$0.00$45.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-09 02:14Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 10:10PM-10:15PM ETSELL0.0226581167$7.23
08-09 02:11Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 10:10PM-10:15PM ETBUY0.1662285256$26.00
08-09 02:11Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 10:10PM-10:15PM ETBUY0.16$26.00
08-09 02:11Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 10:05PM-10:10PM ETSELL0.999$632.64
08-09 02:07Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 10:05PM-10:10PM ETBUY0.9399999997$70.00
08-09 02:07Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 10:05PM-10:10PM ETBUY0.95$70.00
08-09 02:07Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 10:05PM-10:10PM ETBUY0.95$70.00
08-09 02:07Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 10:05PM-10:10PM ETBUY0.9407324409$70.00
08-09 02:06Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 10:05PM-10:10PM ETBUY0.48$18.00
08-09 02:06Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 10:05PM-10:10PM ETBUY0.48$18.00
08-09 02:05Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 10:05PM-10:10PM ETBUY0.4799999963$26.00
08-09 02:05Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 10:05PM-10:10PM ETBUY0.5346353995$26.00
08-09 02:05Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 10:05PM-10:10PM ETBUY0.5$26.00
08-09 02:05Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 10:05PM-10:10PM ETBUY0.4899999949$26.00
08-09 02:05Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 10:05PM-10:10PM ETBUY0.4799999963$26.00