Jacquard
0xb4074b97b59abcd20a7a70c349e3d0ede850456f
- Realised P&L
- $-189.09
- Volume
- $12.4k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $68.92
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration85.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.170 | $68.92 | −$44.58 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$127.45at 0.350Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
- +$20.20at 0.110Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
- +$1.79at 0.035Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
- +$-8.15at 0.196No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027
- +$-20.53at 0.044SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-21 16:05 | Starmer out by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.026 | $4.64 |
| 06-15 12:55 | Starmer out by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3878571429 | $27.15 |
| 06-15 09:30 | Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.76 | $72.10 |
| 06-12 09:34 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T? | BUY | 0.21 | $35.24 |
| 06-12 09:28 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? | BUY | 0.044 | $11.32 |
| 06-12 09:27 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? | BUY | 0.6 | $60.00 |
| 06-12 09:22 | Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.81 | $119.07 |
| 06-12 09:18 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? | BUY | 0.39 | $77.75 |
| 06-12 09:16 | Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.82 | $20.32 |
| 05-22 17:28 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | BUY | 0.28 | $113.08 |
| 05-22 17:20 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | BUY | 0.27 | $0.43 |
| 05-22 17:18 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.29 | $120.47 |
| 05-19 03:46 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.35 | $83.92 |
| 05-19 03:44 | No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027 | SELL | 0.18 | $89.16 |
| 05-18 23:24 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.35 | $61.48 |