PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xb4052aa8C989dA56E013450ce488C1e47bdc53F3-1749435278535

0xb4052aa8c989da56e013450ce488c1e47bdc53f3

Realised P&L
$-72.40
Volume
$12.9k
Markets traded
41
Open portfolio
$15.50

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded41
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration44.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-10-12? · No0.5600.585$15.50+$0.66
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-24? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$16.40
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$14.95
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage · HANJIN BRION0.4700.000$0.00−$15.51
Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-08-14? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00−$16.12
Valorant: Trace Esports vs Unsettled Resentment (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 3 Playoffs · Trace Esports0.8000.000$0.00−$33.83

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 07:47Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-10-12?BUY0.56$14.84
09-16 06:58Commanders vs. CowboysBUY0.66$13.20
09-04 08:50Valorant: Trace Esports vs Unsettled Resentment (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 3 PlayoffsBUY0.8$33.83
08-14 07:02Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-08-14?BUY0.31$16.12
08-07 06:58Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 8?BUY0.56$15.68
07-20 02:52LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group StageBUY0.47$15.51
07-06 11:32Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?BUY0.23$14.95
06-23 12:04Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.007$0.34
06-23 12:04Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.68$33.12
06-23 12:03Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.992$47.62
06-06 02:48UFC Fight Night: Joanderson Brito vs. Jordan Leavitt (Featherweight, Prelims)BUY0.61$16.65
05-21 02:15Will Eoghan Ó Ceannabháin win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?SELL0.998$64.93
05-21 02:15Will Eoghan Ó Ceannabháin win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?BUY0.999$65.00
05-21 02:14Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-24?BUY0.23$16.40
04-20 06:35Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?SELL0.998$67.86