rischio95
0xb4035a8fe02ad75a5771ab175f54965975a95c40
- Realised P&L
- $-150.10
- Volume
- $19.0k
- Markets traded
- 60
- Open portfolio
- $110.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded60
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample48 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$49.67at 0.377Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
- +$37.83at 0.442Will Sal Da Vinci win Sanremo 2026?
- +$27.49at 0.962Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
- +$22.06at 0.641Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$16.21at 0.325Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-05 11:01 | OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | BUY | 0.2599999903 | $14.00 |
| 07-27 19:24 | Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.1429999986 | $80.00 |
| 07-27 19:24 | Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.0289999993 | $40.00 |
| 07-19 21:01 | Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.0776923934 | $82.32 |
| 07-16 23:03 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4199999926 | $24.92 |
| 07-16 23:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET | SELL | 0.3088866667 | $4.63 |
| 07-16 23:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET | SELL | 0.38 | $3.80 |
| 07-16 23:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET | BUY | 0.2 | $5.00 |
| 07-16 23:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET | SELL | 0.59 | $9.83 |
| 07-16 23:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET | BUY | 0.29999997 | $5.00 |
| 07-16 22:59 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.02 | $2.11 |
| 07-10 19:47 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | SELL | 0.575 | $16.92 |
| 07-10 19:43 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.5774999942 | $17.00 |
| 07-10 19:42 | Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.1379310345 | $20.00 |
| 07-08 23:04 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on July 9? | BUY | 0.0373249662 | $20.00 |