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Traders

rischio95

0xb4035a8fe02ad75a5771ab175f54965975a95c40

Realised P&L
$-150.10
Volume
$19.0k
Markets traded
60
Open portfolio
$110.64

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded60
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample48 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.1430.112$62.38$17.62
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0290.029$39.31$0.69
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? · Yes0.2600.145$7.81$6.19
Is Earth flat? · Yes0.0210.006$0.62$1.38
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0210.002$0.53$6.97
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.3040.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET · Down0.4400.000$0.00$25.00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET · Up0.5700.000$0.00$25.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET · Up0.3100.000$0.00$25.00
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10? · Yes0.1380.000$0.00$20.00
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00$2.00
Knicks vs. Cavaliers · Cavaliers0.4720.000$0.00$60.00
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$20.00
Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 140k and 160k? · Yes0.0420.000$0.00$1.00
Will Fedez & Marco Masini win Sanremo 2026? · Yes0.1860.000$0.00$15.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-05 11:01OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?BUY0.2599999903$14.00
07-27 19:24Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.1429999986$80.00
07-27 19:24Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.0289999993$40.00
07-19 21:01Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?SELL0.0776923934$82.32
07-16 23:03Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4199999926$24.92
07-16 23:02Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETSELL0.3088866667$4.63
07-16 23:02Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETSELL0.38$3.80
07-16 23:01Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETBUY0.2$5.00
07-16 23:00Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETSELL0.59$9.83
07-16 23:00Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETBUY0.29999997$5.00
07-16 22:59Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?SELL0.02$2.11
07-10 19:47Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?SELL0.575$16.92
07-10 19:43Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY0.5774999942$17.00
07-10 19:42Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?BUY0.1379310345$20.00
07-08 23:04Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on July 9?BUY0.0373249662$20.00
Trader rischio95 · PolyBot Pro