NexusHarbinger
0xb3fc6401e8efe66489cf88fd36b8684e6e1e3db7
- Realised P&L
- $764.74
- Volume
- $85.6k
- Markets traded
- 108
- Open portfolio
- $7.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded108
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Chen Chen-chung win the next Penghu County Magistrate election? · No | 0.600 | 0.390 | $7.80 | −$4.20 |
| Nuggets vs. Suns · Suns | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$46.80 |
| Clippers vs. Timberwolves · Clippers | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$33.00 |
| Heat vs. Hawks · Hawks | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$35.40 |
| Pacers vs. Pelicans · Pelicans | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$124.70 |
| Rockets vs. Mavericks · Rockets | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$149.60 |
| Bucks vs. Wizards · Bucks | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$76.00 |
| Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026? · No | 0.760 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.60 |
| Will Radiant Win More Games at Dota The International 2026? · No | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.60 |
| Hornets vs. Wizards · Hornets | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$178.60 |
| Mavericks vs. Heat · Heat | 0.760 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.80 |
| Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers · Trail Blazers | 0.710 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$603.50 |
| Warriors vs. Nuggets · Nuggets | 0.614 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$165.80 |
| Pistons vs. Knicks · Pistons | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.50 |
| Magic vs. Raptors · Magic | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$541.20at 0.210Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
- +$506.00at 0.540Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers
- +$440.00at 0.800Timberwolves vs. Nuggets
- +$196.00at 0.510Pistons vs. 76ers
- +$192.40at 0.480Hornets vs. Nets
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 04:03 | Lakers vs. Warriors | BUY | 0.56 | $112.00 |
| 10-31 04:03 | Lakers vs. Warriors | BUY | 0.66 | $198.00 |
| 10-30 09:35 | Magic vs. Raptors | BUY | 0.34 | $10.20 |
| 10-30 09:34 | Magic vs. Raptors | SELL | 0.66 | $13.20 |
| 10-30 08:12 | Nuggets vs. Suns | BUY | 0.39 | $46.80 |
| 10-30 08:12 | Lakers vs. Warriors | BUY | 0.56 | $72.80 |
| 10-30 08:12 | Clippers vs. Timberwolves | BUY | 0.3 | $33.00 |
| 10-30 08:12 | Rockets vs. Mavericks | BUY | 0.68 | $149.60 |
| 10-30 08:11 | Pacers vs. Heat | BUY | 0.74 | $125.80 |
| 10-30 08:11 | Pistons vs. Nets | BUY | 0.73 | $167.90 |
| 10-30 08:11 | Magic vs. Raptors | BUY | 0.67 | $13.40 |
| 10-30 08:11 | Bulls vs. Celtics | BUY | 0.88 | $158.40 |
| 10-30 08:10 | Knicks vs. 76ers | BUY | 0.54 | $145.80 |
| 10-30 08:10 | Hornets vs. Wizards | BUY | 0.47 | $178.60 |
| 10-29 07:05 | Cavaliers vs. Hawks | BUY | 0.51 | $61.20 |