PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xB3FbaCF1FCfD5188738e43cad25c9b3Fd753a324-1772318958468

0xb3fbacf1fcfd5188738e43cad25c9b3fd753a324

Realised P&L
$3.6k
Volume
$189.6k
Markets traded
133
Open portfolio
$1.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded133
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration52.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Student List win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by 10% or more? · Yes0.1280.988$686.57+$597.93
Will Radomir Saičić win the next Serbia presidential election? · No0.3240.210$432.52−$235.33
Will US win 35-40% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0250.975$126.69+$123.39
Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election? · Yes0.1300.100$123.03−$36.91
Will Vladan Đokić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · Yes0.0050.011$66.72+$35.45
Will Dejan Bodiroga be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · Yes0.0040.005$50.53+$15.81
Will Dejan Šoškić win the next Serbia presidential election? · Yes0.0130.027$43.47+$22.54
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? · Yes0.0930.085$42.50−$3.92
Will the Student List win 50% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? · Yes0.1300.985$38.27+$33.22
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.0040.001$6.55−$43.88
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%? · Yes0.1160.965$4.48+$3.94
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.0210.002$3.50−$44.91
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 58-62%? · Yes0.0020.001$2.48−$9.75
Will the Student List win 45-50% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0910.011$2.07−$15.91
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be less than 58%? · Yes0.0060.002$1.22−$3.65

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 13:59Will the Student List win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by a margin of 5-10%?SELL0.001$0.09
10-31 10:10Will Radomir Saičić win the next Serbia presidential election?BUY0.25$25.00
10-31 10:09Will Radomir Saičić win the next Serbia presidential election?BUY0.25$25.00
10-30 20:12Will Radomir Saičić win the next Serbia presidential election?BUY0.28$28.00
10-30 17:57Will Dejan Šoškić win the next Serbia presidential election?BUY0.013$12.23
10-30 17:57Will Radomir Saičić win the next Serbia presidential election?BUY0.28$56.00
10-30 17:17Will Vladan Đokić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?BUY0.013$0.30
10-30 08:20Will Dejan Šoškić win the next Serbia presidential election?BUY0.015$1.69
10-30 08:19Will Radomir Saičić win the next Serbia presidential election?BUY0.35$97.30
10-29 23:13Will Radomir Saičić win the next Serbia presidential election?BUY0.34$109.42
10-28 22:07Will the Student List win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by 10% or more?SELL0.995$5.69
10-28 22:07Will the Student List win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by 10% or more?SELL0.995$5.41
10-28 22:07Will the Student List win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by 10% or more?SELL0.995$5.91
10-28 22:06Will the Student List win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by 10% or more?SELL0.995$5.99
10-28 22:04Will the Student List win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by 10% or more?SELL0.995$5.03