0xB3FbaCF1FCfD5188738e43cad25c9b3Fd753a324-1772318958468
0xb3fbacf1fcfd5188738e43cad25c9b3fd753a324
- Realised P&L
- $3.6k
- Volume
- $189.6k
- Markets traded
- 133
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded133
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.9kat 0.344Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
- +$1.3kat 0.010Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
- +$70.41at 0.010Will the Student List win less than 30% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
- +$70.02at 0.016Will the Student List win 30-35% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
- +$30.77at 0.012Will US win 55% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 13:59 | Will the Student List win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by a margin of 5-10%? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.09 |
| 10-31 10:10 | Will Radomir Saičić win the next Serbia presidential election? | BUY | 0.25 | $25.00 |
| 10-31 10:09 | Will Radomir Saičić win the next Serbia presidential election? | BUY | 0.25 | $25.00 |
| 10-30 20:12 | Will Radomir Saičić win the next Serbia presidential election? | BUY | 0.28 | $28.00 |
| 10-30 17:57 | Will Dejan Šoškić win the next Serbia presidential election? | BUY | 0.013 | $12.23 |
| 10-30 17:57 | Will Radomir Saičić win the next Serbia presidential election? | BUY | 0.28 | $56.00 |
| 10-30 17:17 | Will Vladan Đokić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.013 | $0.30 |
| 10-30 08:20 | Will Dejan Šoškić win the next Serbia presidential election? | BUY | 0.015 | $1.69 |
| 10-30 08:19 | Will Radomir Saičić win the next Serbia presidential election? | BUY | 0.35 | $97.30 |
| 10-29 23:13 | Will Radomir Saičić win the next Serbia presidential election? | BUY | 0.34 | $109.42 |
| 10-28 22:07 | Will the Student List win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by 10% or more? | SELL | 0.995 | $5.69 |
| 10-28 22:07 | Will the Student List win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by 10% or more? | SELL | 0.995 | $5.41 |
| 10-28 22:07 | Will the Student List win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by 10% or more? | SELL | 0.995 | $5.91 |
| 10-28 22:06 | Will the Student List win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by 10% or more? | SELL | 0.995 | $5.99 |
| 10-28 22:04 | Will the Student List win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by 10% or more? | SELL | 0.995 | $5.03 |