0xb3eb31461a51d92b8481d92c4a3a7a232f012a09
0xb3eb31461a51d92b8481d92c4a3a7a232f012a09
- Realised P&L
- $-94.82
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $336.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.57at 0.242Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 7?
- +$9.81at 0.574Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 7?
- +$7.35at 0.642Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on October 7?
- +$6.77at 0.472Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 7?
- +$6.00at 0.808Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on October 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 01:09 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.779999998 | $8.00 |
| 10-08 01:08 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.56 | $7.98 |
| 10-08 01:08 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.6699999732 | $8.00 |
| 10-08 01:08 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.2764912281 | $7.88 |
| 10-08 01:08 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.3130564166 | $15.78 |
| 10-08 00:17 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 69°F or below on October 8? | BUY | 0.2299999936 | $7.86 |
| 10-08 00:15 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 9? | BUY | 0.629999985 | $8.00 |
| 10-08 00:14 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.6599999926 | $7.18 |
| 10-08 00:14 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.6903846154 | $7.18 |
| 10-08 00:14 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.719999988 | $7.18 |
| 10-08 00:13 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.2952956775 | $7.88 |
| 10-08 00:13 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 9? | BUY | 0.629999985 | $8.00 |
| 10-08 00:13 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.5212428365 | $7.97 |
| 10-08 00:00 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on October 8? | BUY | 0.3159949937 | $7.89 |
| 10-08 00:00 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.5399999919 | $7.98 |