0xB3EAceaDa98197a29E3B2a3DBd63b667E7f2f8cB-1782780157106
0xb3eaceada98197a29e3b2a3dbd63b667e7f2f8cb
- Realised P&L
- $-58.41
- Volume
- $614.71
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $125.05
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Papertrade launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.716 | 0.910 | $90.48 | +$19.30 |
| Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.260 | 0.205 | $20.91 | −$5.61 |
| Will Pluralis launch a token by September 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.445 | $13.66 | +$2.92 |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09? · Yes | 0.117 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.15 |
| Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance · Portugal | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.00 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.61 |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will England win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.485 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.29at 0.380Will England win on 2026-07-05?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 01:49 | Will Pluralis launch a token by September 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.35 | $10.74 |
| 08-02 01:14 | Will Papertrade launch a token by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.717 | $23.82 |
| 08-02 01:10 | Will Papertrade launch a token by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.716 | $40.27 |
| 08-02 01:06 | Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.26 | $26.52 |
| 08-02 01:06 | Will Papertrade launch a token by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.715 | $7.09 |
| 07-12 00:11 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.4299999788 | $10.15 |
| 07-11 22:00 | Will England win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.4849999882 | $10.50 |
| 07-09 21:12 | Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.117499991 | $10.00 |
| 07-07 17:46 | Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.4299999853 | $7.00 |
| 07-06 17:41 | Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.2399999796 | $8.00 |
| 07-06 03:12 | Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.3399999815 | $11.00 |
| 07-06 03:11 | Will England win on 2026-07-05? | SELL | 0.999 | $26.28 |
| 07-06 00:01 | Will England win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.3799999833 | $10.00 |
| 07-01 23:43 | Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.389999986 | $10.00 |
| 07-01 23:42 | Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.2399999856 | $10.00 |