PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xB3EAceaDa98197a29E3B2a3DBd63b667E7f2f8cB-1782780157106

0xb3eaceada98197a29e3b2a3dbd63b667e7f2f8cb

Realised P&L
$-32.97
Volume
$3.5k
Markets traded
47
Open portfolio
$309.44

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded47
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample28 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)35.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Theo FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No0.7900.775$38.75$0.75
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.4800.575$37.38+$6.17
Unit FDV above $400M one day after launch? · No0.6100.705$35.25+$4.75
Ledger IPO closing market cap above $4B? · Yes0.1400.135$33.06$1.22
Printr FDV above $150M one day after launch? · No0.9160.906$27.18$0.29
Hotstuff FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.8000.795$23.85$0.15
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.3700.380$19.00+$0.51
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-07 House election by 6%-9%? · Yes0.0980.398$18.80+$14.17
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.2000.340$17.00+$7.00
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.7300.750$15.00+$0.40
Will the Republican Party win the PA-07 House seat? · Yes0.2600.210$9.87$2.35
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-07 House election by 0%-3%? · Yes0.1300.155$7.75+$1.25
Hotstuff FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes0.2000.240$7.20+$1.20
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-07 House election by 3%-6%? · Yes0.1300.135$6.75+$0.25
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes0.2500.255$4.87+$0.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 18:06Printr FDV above $100M one day after launch?SELL0.081$2.43
09-16 01:10Will the Republican Party win the PA-07 House seat?BUY0.26$12.22
09-16 01:09Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-07 House election by 6%-9%?BUY0.098$4.64
09-16 01:09Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-07 House election by 3%-6%?BUY0.13$6.50
09-16 01:09Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-07 House election by 0%-3%?BUY0.13$6.50
09-13 21:14Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2027?BUY0.42$10.50
09-12 21:34Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2027?SELL0.6$15.00
09-12 00:06Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.81$24.30
09-10 00:49Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in August?BUY0.48$14.40
09-08 00:58Hotstuff FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.8$24.00
09-08 00:57Hotstuff FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.2$6.00
09-07 22:15Will Prime Intellect launch a token by September 30, 2027?SELL0.29$7.25
09-06 18:21Ledger IPO closing market cap above $4B?SELL0.1562854965$16.40
08-28 20:15Will the Rhine River return to normal levels before September 1, 2026?SELL0.326$5.09
08-25 22:54Will the Rhine River return to normal levels before September 1, 2026?SELL0.408$2.04