0xB3EAceaDa98197a29E3B2a3DBd63b667E7f2f8cB-1782780157106
0xb3eaceada98197a29e3b2a3dbd63b667e7f2f8cb
- Realised P&L
- $-32.97
- Volume
- $3.5k
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $309.44
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)35.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.25at 0.730Will Papertrade launch a token by June 30, 2027?
- +$16.10at 0.387Will England win on 2026-07-05?
- +$15.22at 0.492Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in August?
- +$14.64at 0.124Will Shein's closing IPO market cap be at least 200B HKD?
- +$7.25at 0.329Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 18:06 | Printr FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.081 | $2.43 |
| 09-16 01:10 | Will the Republican Party win the PA-07 House seat? | BUY | 0.26 | $12.22 |
| 09-16 01:09 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-07 House election by 6%-9%? | BUY | 0.098 | $4.64 |
| 09-16 01:09 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-07 House election by 3%-6%? | BUY | 0.13 | $6.50 |
| 09-16 01:09 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-07 House election by 0%-3%? | BUY | 0.13 | $6.50 |
| 09-13 21:14 | Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.42 | $10.50 |
| 09-12 21:34 | Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.6 | $15.00 |
| 09-12 00:06 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.81 | $24.30 |
| 09-10 00:49 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in August? | BUY | 0.48 | $14.40 |
| 09-08 00:58 | Hotstuff FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8 | $24.00 |
| 09-08 00:57 | Hotstuff FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2 | $6.00 |
| 09-07 22:15 | Will Prime Intellect launch a token by September 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.29 | $7.25 |
| 09-06 18:21 | Ledger IPO closing market cap above $4B? | SELL | 0.1562854965 | $16.40 |
| 08-28 20:15 | Will the Rhine River return to normal levels before September 1, 2026? | SELL | 0.326 | $5.09 |
| 08-25 22:54 | Will the Rhine River return to normal levels before September 1, 2026? | SELL | 0.408 | $2.04 |