0xb3e85913A62c47Df08b9D77565703732B6084A73-1761649164245
0xb3e85913a62c47df08b9d77565703732b6084a73
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $10.9k
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $16.29
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-11.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)47.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 1%? · No | 0.810 | 0.815 | $16.29 | +$0.10 |
| 76ers vs. Hornets · Hornets | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$138.00 |
| Knicks vs. Pacers · Pacers | 0.139 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.85 |
| Lakers vs. Heat · Heat | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$127.60 |
| 76ers vs. Spurs · 76ers | 0.245 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$103.20 |
| Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.88 |
| Pelicans vs. Trail Blazers · Pelicans | 0.317 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$68.20 |
| Wizards vs. Heat · Wizards | 0.119 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.47 |
| Clippers vs. Bucks · Bucks | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$28.60 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Nets · Nets | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.20 |
| Thunder vs. Nets · Nets | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.00 |
| Pacers vs. Magic · Magic | 0.880 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$158.40 |
| Magic vs. Celtics · Magic | 0.587 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$145.00 |
| Jazz vs. Rockets · Jazz | 0.082 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$38.40 |
| Wizards vs. Magic · Wizards | 0.109 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.17 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$262.48at 0.347Rockets vs. Lakers
- +$130.72at 0.560Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?
- +$124.11at 0.409Cavaliers vs. Magic
- +$86.62at 0.537Suns vs. Magic
- +$51.00at 0.700Hornets vs. Spurs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 06:23 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | BUY | 0.984 | $9.84 |
| 06-30 09:17 | Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026? | BUY | 0.66 | $11.88 |
| 06-30 09:06 | Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $34.97 |
| 05-28 08:06 | Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026? | BUY | 0.992 | $34.72 |
| 05-28 07:54 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May? | SELL | 0.996 | $298.80 |
| 04-18 08:55 | Rockets vs. Lakers | BUY | 0.34 | $133.88 |
| 04-11 07:04 | Magic vs. Celtics | BUY | 0.58 | $141.35 |
| 04-10 09:12 | Pistons vs. Hornets | BUY | 0.61 | $363.39 |
| 04-09 10:02 | Heat vs. Raptors | BUY | 0.39 | $101.45 |
| 04-08 09:31 | Hawks vs. Cavaliers | BUY | 0.48 | $125.56 |
| 04-07 08:55 | Jazz vs. Pelicans | BUY | 0.17 | $61.38 |
| 04-06 09:39 | 76ers vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.24 | $98.49 |
| 04-03 08:44 | Jazz vs. Rockets | BUY | 0.08 | $36.28 |
| 04-02 08:48 | Pelicans vs. Trail Blazers | BUY | 0.31 | $65.38 |
| 03-31 09:05 | Suns vs. Magic | BUY | 0.53 | $97.86 |