PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xb3e85913A62c47Df08b9D77565703732B6084A73-1761649164245

0xb3e85913a62c47df08b9d77565703732b6084a73

Realised P&L
$-1.2k
Volume
$10.9k
Markets traded
41
Open portfolio
$16.29

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-11.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded41
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)47.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 1%? · No0.8100.815$16.29+$0.10
76ers vs. Hornets · Hornets0.6900.000$0.00−$138.00
Knicks vs. Pacers · Pacers0.1390.000$0.00−$20.85
Lakers vs. Heat · Heat0.5800.000$0.00−$127.60
76ers vs. Spurs · 76ers0.2450.000$0.00−$103.20
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026? · Yes0.6600.000$0.00−$11.88
Pelicans vs. Trail Blazers · Pelicans0.3170.000$0.00−$68.20
Wizards vs. Heat · Wizards0.1190.000$0.00−$15.47
Clippers vs. Bucks · Bucks0.1300.000$0.00−$28.60
Trail Blazers vs. Nets · Nets0.2100.000$0.00−$25.20
Thunder vs. Nets · Nets0.0600.000$0.00−$9.00
Pacers vs. Magic · Magic0.8800.000$0.00−$158.40
Magic vs. Celtics · Magic0.5870.000$0.00−$145.00
Jazz vs. Rockets · Jazz0.0820.000$0.00−$38.40
Wizards vs. Magic · Wizards0.1090.000$0.00−$14.17

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-30 06:23Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?BUY0.984$9.84
06-30 09:17Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?BUY0.66$11.88
06-30 09:06Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?SELL0.999$34.97
05-28 08:06Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?BUY0.992$34.72
05-28 07:54Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?SELL0.996$298.80
04-18 08:55Rockets vs. LakersBUY0.34$133.88
04-11 07:04Magic vs. CelticsBUY0.58$141.35
04-10 09:12Pistons vs. HornetsBUY0.61$363.39
04-09 10:02Heat vs. RaptorsBUY0.39$101.45
04-08 09:31Hawks vs. CavaliersBUY0.48$125.56
04-07 08:55Jazz vs. PelicansBUY0.17$61.38
04-06 09:3976ers vs. SpursBUY0.24$98.49
04-03 08:44Jazz vs. RocketsBUY0.08$36.28
04-02 08:48Pelicans vs. Trail BlazersBUY0.31$65.38
03-31 09:05Suns vs. MagicBUY0.53$97.86