0xb3e0c9d80844223924471f53796def4b48603933
- Realised P&L
- $-59.89
- Volume
- $4.3k
- Markets traded
- 63
- Open portfolio
- $1.98
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded63
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$129.07at 0.425Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
- +$34.68at 0.788Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
- +$33.89at 0.092Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
- +$20.30at 0.340US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?
- +$7.89at 0.380Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-17 14:55 | Gemini 3.5 released by May 31? | BUY | 0.2649998995 | $1.70 |
| 05-17 01:35 | NHL: Stanley Cup Winner USA or Canada? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 05-17 00:30 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999736 | $3.00 |
| 05-16 18:12 | GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $3.00 |
| 05-16 18:10 | Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering? | SELL | 0.6 | $6.00 |
| 05-16 16:43 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | BUY | 0.1899999815 | $8.00 |
| 05-12 18:59 | Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.0590951973 | $1.00 |
| 05-12 18:54 | GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1899999373 | $2.00 |
| 05-12 18:54 | GPT-5.6 released by May 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999467 | $2.00 |
| 05-12 18:53 | Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit? | BUY | 0.14999994 | $2.00 |
| 05-12 18:29 | Starmer out by May 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.0739999343 | $1.00 |
| 05-12 18:27 | Starmer out by May 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.0749999325 | $1.00 |
| 05-11 19:00 | Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11? | BUY | 0.33999983 | $1.00 |
| 05-11 18:55 | Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11? | BUY | 0.3799999012 | $1.00 |
| 05-09 16:17 | QFEX FDV above $50M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.65 | $4.34 |