PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xb3e0c9d80844223924471f53796def4b48603933

Realised P&L
$-59.89
Volume
$4.3k
Markets traded
63
Open portfolio
$1.98

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded63
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration52.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
QFEX FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.5440.215$1.98$3.03
GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.1410.000$0.00$5.00
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026? · No0.0590.000$0.00$1.00
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00$1.40
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07? · Yes0.4620.000$0.00$1.19
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves · Nuggets0.3800.000$0.00$1.00
NHL: Stanley Cup Winner USA or Canada? · Canada0.1000.000$0.00$1.00
Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$2.00
Starmer out by May 15, 2026? · Yes0.0740.000$0.00$2.00
GPT-5.6 released by May 22, 2026? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$2.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? · Yes0.2990.000$0.00$2.39
Lakers vs. Thunder · Lakers0.1400.000$0.00$1.00
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11? · Yes0.3590.000$0.00$2.00
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31? · No0.2650.000$0.00$1.70
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? · Yes0.1460.000$0.00$11.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-17 14:55Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?BUY0.2649998995$1.70
05-17 01:35NHL: Stanley Cup Winner USA or Canada?BUY0.1$1.00
05-17 00:30Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?BUY0.0899999736$3.00
05-16 18:12GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?BUY0.12$3.00
05-16 18:10Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?SELL0.6$6.00
05-16 16:43Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?BUY0.1899999815$8.00
05-12 18:59Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?BUY0.0590951973$1.00
05-12 18:54GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?BUY0.1899999373$2.00
05-12 18:54GPT-5.6 released by May 22, 2026?BUY0.1299999467$2.00
05-12 18:53Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?BUY0.14999994$2.00
05-12 18:29Starmer out by May 15, 2026?BUY0.0739999343$1.00
05-12 18:27Starmer out by May 15, 2026?BUY0.0749999325$1.00
05-11 19:00Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11?BUY0.33999983$1.00
05-11 18:55Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11?BUY0.3799999012$1.00
05-09 16:17QFEX FDV above $50M one day after launch?SELL0.65$4.34