lifeasrkm
0xb3dfb60ed0eb42ebd7df008c66a374915b6d6c3c
- Realised P&L
- $-0.60
- Volume
- $122.15
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $4.68
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-20? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.655 | $4.68 | −$0.32 |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13? · Yes | 0.880 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.66at 0.376Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on October 4?
- +$4.88at 0.512Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?
- +$1.08at 0.788Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13?
- +$1.05at 0.827Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-13?
- +$0.07at 0.998Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 13:41 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.4799999616 | $4.00 |
| 10-14 13:40 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-20? | BUY | 0.699999972 | $5.00 |
| 10-14 13:39 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 10-13 15:42 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13? | BUY | 0.8799999859 | $5.00 |
| 10-13 15:39 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-13? | BUY | 0.8199999967 | $5.00 |
| 10-13 15:37 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13? | BUY | 0.7799999766 | $4.00 |
| 10-07 13:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 7? | SELL | 0.207974026 | $3.20 |
| 10-07 05:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 7? | BUY | 0.6489999786 | $10.00 |
| 09-29 23:05 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on October 4? | BUY | 0.3599999971 | $5.00 |
| 08-13 21:10 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.00 |
| 08-10 14:56 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | BUY | 0.9969999269 | $10.00 |
| 08-10 12:08 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | BUY | 0.997 | $9.00 |