0xb3df483638bAac2eFcAD02d65c9d9002CEe2463D-1782740741639
0xb3df483638baac2efcad02d65c9d9002cee2463d
- Realised P&L
- $-291.71
- Volume
- $124.4k
- Markets traded
- 3,954
- Open portfolio
- $835.54
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,954
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration5.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$288.00at 0.576Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10AM ET
- +$235.15at 0.495Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3PM ET
- +$228.04at 0.606Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7PM ET
- +$174.22at 0.757Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5PM ET
- +$167.75at 0.618Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 11:04 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.9817239334 | $20.00 |
| 09-20 10:21 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.98 | $20.00 |
| 09-20 10:07 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.9709999995 | $20.00 |
| 09-20 10:07 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.9679999996 | $20.00 |
| 09-20 09:34 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.98 | $20.00 |
| 09-20 09:34 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.98 | $20.00 |
| 09-20 09:34 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.98 | $20.00 |
| 09-20 09:32 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.99 | $20.00 |
| 09-20 09:32 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.98 | $20.00 |
| 09-20 09:32 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.9803969647 | $20.00 |
| 09-20 09:24 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.9699999995 | $20.00 |
| 09-20 09:21 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.96 | $20.00 |
| 09-20 09:08 | Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 23°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.98 | $20.00 |
| 09-20 08:57 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.99 | $20.00 |
| 09-20 08:55 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.9699999995 | $20.00 |