PolyBot

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Traders

DocIce

0xb3d7517c1db0f12a9b8efbb727b86984d6e1472c

Realised P&L
$-44.79
Volume
$2.3k
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$128.05

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.3400.255$56.25$18.75
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.2300.145$31.52$18.48
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.2070.065$14.10$30.90
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · Yes0.2800.065$11.61$38.39
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.6210.125$9.03$35.80
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.5000.140$2.80$7.20
GTA VI released by October 31? · Yes0.0600.017$2.75$7.25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? · No0.5700.000$0.00$20.00
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-05 18:11Fight to Go the Distance?BUY0.6899999984$65.50
08-08 22:06Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?BUY0.3399999975$75.00
08-08 22:06Iran leadership change by December 31?BUY0.2299999968$50.00
07-25 15:44UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Valter Walker (Heavyweight, Prelims)BUY0.7282521942$125.00
05-30 23:52Iran closes its airspace by June 30?BUY0.2457503011$10.00
05-30 23:51Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?BUY0.05$10.00
05-30 23:50GTA VI released by October 31?BUY0.0599999946$10.00
05-30 13:59Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?BUY0.6199999981$20.00
05-30 13:59US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?BUY0.5699999926$20.00
05-26 00:36Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.16$25.00
05-26 00:36US strike on Cuba by December 31?BUY0.5$10.00
05-17 04:31US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?BUY0.6099999988$25.00
04-25 16:10US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?BUY0.2799999969$50.00
03-15 14:13US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?BUY0.349999993$25.00
03-08 03:36UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)BUY0.6499999935$20.00