DocIce
0xb3d7517c1db0f12a9b8efbb727b86984d6e1472c
- Realised P&L
- $-44.79
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $128.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.255 | $56.25 | −$18.75 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.145 | $31.52 | −$18.48 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes | 0.207 | 0.065 | $14.10 | −$30.90 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.065 | $11.61 | −$38.39 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? · Yes | 0.621 | 0.125 | $9.03 | −$35.80 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.140 | $2.80 | −$7.20 |
| GTA VI released by October 31? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.017 | $2.75 | −$7.25 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? · No | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$50.31at 0.600US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$46.43at 0.350US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
- +$44.95at 0.738UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Valter Walker (Heavyweight, Prelims)
- +$30.69at 0.246Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
- +$28.45at 0.600Texans vs. Steelers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-05 18:11 | Fight to Go the Distance? | BUY | 0.6899999984 | $65.50 |
| 08-08 22:06 | Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.3399999975 | $75.00 |
| 08-08 22:06 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | BUY | 0.2299999968 | $50.00 |
| 07-25 15:44 | UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Valter Walker (Heavyweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.7282521942 | $125.00 |
| 05-30 23:52 | Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | BUY | 0.2457503011 | $10.00 |
| 05-30 23:51 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | BUY | 0.05 | $10.00 |
| 05-30 23:50 | GTA VI released by October 31? | BUY | 0.0599999946 | $10.00 |
| 05-30 13:59 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6199999981 | $20.00 |
| 05-30 13:59 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5699999926 | $20.00 |
| 05-26 00:36 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $25.00 |
| 05-26 00:36 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 05-17 04:31 | US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro? | BUY | 0.6099999988 | $25.00 |
| 04-25 16:10 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | BUY | 0.2799999969 | $50.00 |
| 03-15 14:13 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | BUY | 0.349999993 | $25.00 |
| 03-08 03:36 | UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.6499999935 | $20.00 |