0xb3CE2323a02f18ee19A56985dCA9A06D9041B41c-1778223091113
0xb3ce2323a02f18ee19a56985dca9a06d9041b41c
- Realised P&L
- $-16.55
- Volume
- $4.9k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $68.36
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration98.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$114.88at 0.080Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$1.17at 0.240No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?
- +$0.41at 0.243Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$-0.26at 0.010Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
- +$-0.66at 0.050Kurds declare independence from Iran?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-15 09:29 | Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | BUY | 0.0120000001 | $2.00 |
| 05-15 09:27 | Kurds declare independence from Iran? | SELL | 0.0384854317 | $2.14 |
| 05-15 09:27 | Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | BUY | 0.0120000001 | $2.92 |
| 05-15 09:26 | Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31? | BUY | 0.1399999787 | $5.00 |
| 05-15 09:26 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 05-15 09:25 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 05-15 09:25 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.179999987 | $10.00 |
| 05-15 09:23 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1469999894 | $10.00 |
| 05-15 05:25 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.31 |
| 05-13 16:53 | Kurds declare independence from Iran? | BUY | 0.0503584679 | $2.80 |
| 05-13 05:57 | Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? | SELL | 0.056576 | $2.83 |
| 05-11 10:18 | Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | BUY | 0.0215994244 | $4.73 |
| 05-11 10:15 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0929999846 | $5.00 |
| 05-11 10:14 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.253 | $10.41 |
| 05-11 10:11 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0129999979 | $5.94 |