PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Sign in

Traders

0xb3CE2323a02f18ee19A56985dCA9A06D9041B41c-1778223091113

0xb3ce2323a02f18ee19a56985dca9a06d9041b41c

Realised P&L
$-16.55
Volume
$4.9k
Markets traded
27
Open portfolio
$68.36

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded27
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration98.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1470.135$18.24$1.76
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · Yes0.1900.125$14.47$7.53
OPEC dissolves in 2026? · Yes0.1100.055$10.00$10.00
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.075$7.50$2.50
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? · Yes0.1480.085$5.15$3.85
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0130.011$4.80$1.14
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0930.086$4.60$0.40
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.1800.065$3.61$6.39
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$5.00
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$5.00
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$5.00
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$10.00
Tucker Carlson federally charged? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00$5.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$12.00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-15 09:29Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?BUY0.0120000001$2.00
05-15 09:27Kurds declare independence from Iran?SELL0.0384854317$2.14
05-15 09:27Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?BUY0.0120000001$2.92
05-15 09:26Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?BUY0.1399999787$5.00
05-15 09:26Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1$10.00
05-15 09:25Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.05$5.00
05-15 09:25Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.179999987$10.00
05-15 09:23Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.1469999894$10.00
05-15 05:25Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?SELL0.001$0.31
05-13 16:53Kurds declare independence from Iran?BUY0.0503584679$2.80
05-13 05:57Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?SELL0.056576$2.83
05-11 10:18Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?BUY0.0215994244$4.73
05-11 10:15Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0929999846$5.00
05-11 10:14Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.253$10.41
05-11 10:11Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.0129999979$5.94