puliotbabulu
0xb3ca7662a29487117daa1f5a63766e8f521d1a85
- Realised P&L
- $7.63
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $213.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.976 | $53.69 | +$1.40 |
| Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027? · No | 0.950 | 0.956 | $52.85 | +$0.30 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No | 0.982 | 0.984 | $52.57 | +$0.08 |
| Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League MVP Award? · Yes | 0.945 | 0.962 | $51.87 | +$0.92 |
| Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027? · No | 0.951 | 0.967 | $2.20 | +$0.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.55at 0.967Will Raphinha be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.30at 0.953Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?
- +$1.30at 0.951Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?
- +$0.85at 0.939Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?
- +$0.68at 0.965Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-07 12:19 | Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | BUY | 0.965 | $19.30 |