PolyBot

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Traders

ghostrunnerva

0xb3c89c9ede275b13a8d22f7ad9dd9d71b944f79f

Realised P&L
$-4.36
Volume
$71.01
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$10.55

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
ClearProfit concentration29.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.5980.841$4.21+$1.22
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6200.705$3.52+$0.42
Will Anthropic IPO by November 19, 2026? · Yes0.4400.450$2.25+$0.05
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026? · No0.6300.115$0.57−$2.58
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? · No0.5940.000$0.00−$2.97
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August? · No0.4300.000$0.00−$1.25
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in October? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00−$1.85
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? · Yes0.4700.000$0.00−$2.40
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? · Yes0.4900.000$0.00−$2.45
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00−$1.45
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00−$2.15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00−$1.65

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 05:50Will Anthropic IPO by November 19, 2026?BUY0.44$2.20
10-15 03:47Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in October?BUY0.37$1.85
09-24 07:42Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.598$2.99
09-24 02:56Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.62$3.10
08-14 02:23Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?BUY0.429999914$1.25
08-05 02:59Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?BUY0.63$3.15
07-16 03:50Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?BUY0.49$2.45
07-09 02:47Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY0.594$2.97
06-09 03:12Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.54$1.62
06-01 06:36US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?BUY0.39$1.95
05-27 02:14US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY0.44$2.20
05-25 06:26Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY0.4699999863$2.40
05-18 08:09Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?BUY0.43$2.15
05-11 08:18Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?BUY0.33$1.65
04-21 05:51Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?BUY0.4$2.00