ghostrunnerva
0xb3c89c9ede275b13a8d22f7ad9dd9d71b944f79f
- Realised P&L
- $-4.36
- Volume
- $71.01
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $10.55
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration29.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.05at 0.390US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
- +$3.00at 0.400Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
- +$2.80at 0.440US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$1.36at 0.547Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 05:50 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.44 | $2.20 |
| 10-15 03:47 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in October? | BUY | 0.37 | $1.85 |
| 09-24 07:42 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.598 | $2.99 |
| 09-24 02:56 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.62 | $3.10 |
| 08-14 02:23 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August? | BUY | 0.429999914 | $1.25 |
| 08-05 02:59 | Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026? | BUY | 0.63 | $3.15 |
| 07-16 03:50 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? | BUY | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 07-09 02:47 | Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.594 | $2.97 |
| 06-09 03:12 | Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.54 | $1.62 |
| 06-01 06:36 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.39 | $1.95 |
| 05-27 02:14 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.44 | $2.20 |
| 05-25 06:26 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.4699999863 | $2.40 |
| 05-18 08:09 | Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | BUY | 0.43 | $2.15 |
| 05-11 08:18 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May? | BUY | 0.33 | $1.65 |
| 04-21 05:51 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |