kingoforks
0xb3c54071765f7dfe3def50fa812fed81fa9ef095
- Realised P&L
- $-4.7k
- Volume
- $288.3k
- Markets traded
- 4,837
- Open portfolio
- $51.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,837
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration11.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winner · Spirit | 0.710 | 0.525 | $51.76 | −$18.24 |
| Dota 2: Daxak Team vs Cake Team (BO5) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Playoffs · Daxak Team | 0.838 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner · Team Yandex | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$60.00 |
| Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Seeding Matches · Team Yandex | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$115.25 |
| Dota 2: 1win vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier · OG | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$75.00 |
| Dota 2: Daxak Team vs Cake Team - Game 2 Winner · Daxak Team | 0.699 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$243.06at 0.607Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner
- +$215.15at 0.600Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
- +$210.09at 0.452Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?
- +$181.90at 0.616Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague Playoffs
- +$172.04at 0.537Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 08:15 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.7099999992 | $70.00 |
| 10-03 18:43 | Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Seeding Matches | BUY | 0.6199999992 | $115.25 |
| 10-03 18:23 | Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.629999995 | $20.00 |
| 10-03 18:09 | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | BUY | 0.8799999996 | $85.77 |
| 10-03 17:59 | Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.6599999957 | $40.00 |
| 10-03 17:58 | Dota 2: 1win vs OG - Game 1 Winner | SELL | 0.999 | $62.44 |
| 10-03 17:49 | Counter-Strike: G2 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | BUY | 0.7599999991 | $35.00 |
| 10-03 17:40 | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | BUY | 0.7399999953 | $25.00 |
| 10-03 17:39 | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.6799999993 | $40.00 |
| 10-03 17:19 | Dota 2: Daxak Team vs Cake Team (BO5) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Playoffs | BUY | 0.748876685 | $100.00 |
| 10-03 17:19 | Croatia vs. England: O/U 1.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $67.00 |
| 10-03 17:18 | Will England win on 2026-10-03? | SELL | 0.999 | $77.50 |
| 10-03 16:57 | Spain vs. Czechia: Spain O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.9 | $38.36 |
| 10-03 16:54 | Dota 2: Daxak Team vs Cake Team (BO5) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Playoffs | BUY | 0.9512428582 | $100.00 |
| 10-03 16:31 | Dota 2: 1win vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier | BUY | 0.629999995 | $25.00 |