PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xb3c4B34ad0472d08e212BfC1aD726Cb3D47e8379-1734339593783

0xb3c4b34ad0472d08e212bfc1ad726cb3d47e8379

Realised P&L
$22.28
Volume
$7.3k
Markets traded
72
Open portfolio
$86.05

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded72
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration6.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Lydie Massard be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.9980.998$35.10+$0.00
Will Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.9980.997$25.96−$0.04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 17? · Yes0.9960.996$24.99−$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 15:16Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 17?BUY0.996$25.00
10-12 21:15Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?BUY0.995$24.00
10-11 10:34Will Lydie Massard be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.998$35.10
10-09 10:09Will Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.998$26.00
10-05 23:35Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on October 7?BUY0.998$34.00
10-04 06:57Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?BUY0.997$20.00
10-02 01:14Will Latvija Pirmajā Vietā (LPV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?BUY0.997$50.30
09-29 14:50Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.9949999878$29.00
09-28 09:08Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in September?BUY0.9969999684$17.00
09-27 13:07Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 September 21-27?BUY0.998$49.80
09-25 00:34Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 25?BUY0.997$46.80
09-24 03:41Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 24?BUY0.996$14.00
09-05 14:36Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 August 31-September 6?BUY0.998$30.00
09-01 21:51Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?BUY0.996$18.00
08-30 21:03Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?BUY0.998$15.00