mkir
0xb3b2f3af0e48efc747162ba6345df2c37ac06106
- Realised P&L
- $-20.78
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $33.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.16at 0.270Will Boston Legacy FC win on 2026-07-25?
- +$9.33at 0.522France vs. Spain: Draw at halftime?
- +$6.54at 0.777Will Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Santos FC end in a draw?
- +$6.17at 0.198Paris FC leading at halftime?
- +$4.14at 0.482Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on July 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 00:07 | Will UNI reach $11.00 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.77 | $4.59 |
| 09-17 00:07 | Will UNI reach $8.00 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.3 | $1.79 |
| 09-10 14:02 | Will UNI reach $8.00 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2899999631 | $1.73 |
| 09-10 14:01 | Will UNI reach $11.00 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6799999599 | $4.07 |
| 09-06 18:59 | Paris FC leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.1899999076 | $1.46 |
| 08-21 10:54 | Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.48 |
| 08-21 10:54 | Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.719999973 | $4.27 |
| 08-20 08:08 | Theo FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.79 | $4.65 |
| 08-20 08:08 | Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.23 | $1.35 |
| 08-18 16:22 | Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1899998773 | $1.13 |
| 08-18 16:22 | Theo FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7891175407 | $4.65 |
| 08-07 01:23 | Dreamcash FDV above $50M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.64 | $3.87 |
| 08-07 01:23 | Dreamcash FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.75 | $4.53 |
| 08-06 17:46 | Will PAOK vs. RSC Anderlecht end in a draw? | SELL | 0.24 | $1.53 |
| 08-06 17:45 | Will PAOK vs. RSC Anderlecht end in a draw? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.59 |