PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

mkir

0xb3b2f3af0e48efc747162ba6345df2c37ac06106

Realised P&L
$-20.78
Volume
$1.1k
Markets traded
49
Open portfolio
$33.30

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded49
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample30 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Bengals win the season series against the Browns during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.4500.445$9.31−$0.10
Will the season series between the Bengals and Browns end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.3500.420$8.77+$1.46
Will the Cowboys win the season series against the Commanders during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.3400.570$4.73+$1.91
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.7200.710$4.21−$0.06
Will the season series between the Cowboys and Commanders end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.3900.410$3.41+$0.17
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes0.2500.275$1.63+$0.15
Will the Browns win the season series against the Bengals during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.1200.060$1.25−$1.25
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14? · No0.6800.000$0.00−$4.49
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? · No0.0010.000$0.00−$0.10
Will the Commanders win the season series against the Cowboys during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$1.91
Will Kansas City Current win on 2026-07-25? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00−$9.40
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on July 9? · Yes0.0770.000$0.00−$9.04
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on July 9? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00−$0.20
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on July 9? · Yes0.0460.000$0.00−$11.13
Kuopion Palloseura vs. Vaasan Palloseura: Draw at halftime? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00−$2.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 00:07Will UNI reach $11.00 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.77$4.59
09-17 00:07Will UNI reach $8.00 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.3$1.79
09-10 14:02Will UNI reach $8.00 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2899999631$1.73
09-10 14:01Will UNI reach $11.00 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6799999599$4.07
09-06 18:59Paris FC leading at halftime?BUY0.1899999076$1.46
08-21 10:54Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.25$1.48
08-21 10:54Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.719999973$4.27
08-20 08:08Theo FDV above $300M one day after launch?SELL0.79$4.65
08-20 08:08Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?SELL0.23$1.35
08-18 16:22Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.1899998773$1.13
08-18 16:22Theo FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.7891175407$4.65
08-07 01:23Dreamcash FDV above $50M one day after launch?SELL0.64$3.87
08-07 01:23Dreamcash FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.75$4.53
08-06 17:46Will PAOK vs. RSC Anderlecht end in a draw?SELL0.24$1.53
08-06 17:45Will PAOK vs. RSC Anderlecht end in a draw?BUY0.25$1.59