99488104
0xb3b1d81a127f23360b62730326c0d3ba312aca43
- Realised P&L
- $-491.51
- Volume
- $26.7k
- Markets traded
- 116
- Open portfolio
- $18.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded116
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$148.42at 0.498Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
- +$30.95at 0.403Will XRP reach $1.60 in August?
- +$30.18at 0.570UFC Fight Night: Mason Jones vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims)
- +$24.49at 0.550Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)
- +$20.85at 0.590Magic vs. Hawks
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 18:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 18:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 18:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 06:18 | Will XRP reach $4.20 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0429999999 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 06:17 | Will XRP reach $4.00 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0474419977 | $5.00 |
| 08-22 07:02 | Will XRP reach $2.20 in August? | BUY | 0.1013792725 | $15.00 |
| 08-21 14:40 | Will XRP reach $3.00 in August? | BUY | 0.0055452865 | $1.00 |
| 08-21 14:38 | Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.021 | $1.50 |
| 08-21 14:36 | Will XRP reach $1.80 in August? | BUY | 0.1158528622 | $20.00 |
| 08-21 14:35 | Will XRP reach $1.60 in August? | BUY | 0.3859999919 | $20.00 |
| 08-20 06:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET | BUY | 0.1399999727 | $4.00 |
| 08-20 06:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 08-20 06:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET | BUY | 0.14999994 | $2.00 |
| 08-19 21:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET | BUY | 0.6599999296 | $3.00 |
| 08-19 21:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET | BUY | 0.1899999373 | $2.00 |