0xb3a4ef2157003fc63ba4cf5fad0d45be3fb2e6eb
0xb3a4ef2157003fc63ba4cf5fad0d45be3fb2e6eb
- Realised P&L
- $-310.42
- Volume
- $10.1k
- Markets traded
- 594
- Open portfolio
- $16.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded594
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.97at 0.733Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$20.77at 0.879Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on September 25?
- +$20.51at 0.832Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on September 29?
- +$16.07at 0.821Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$11.55at 0.926Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 01:59 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.3627450923 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 17:05 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.4533716753 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 17:05 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.103270223 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 12:55 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on October 5? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.85 |
| 10-04 16:36 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.4599999669 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 16:36 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 13:04 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.7766875673 | $20.00 |
| 09-30 03:39 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.9456637366 | $100.00 |
| 09-29 14:32 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.8202996806 | $100.00 |
| 09-29 09:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 14:33 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.8099999741 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 14:07 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.8299999777 | $2.60 |
| 09-27 15:36 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 27? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.03 |
| 09-27 15:22 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.02 | $0.20 |
| 09-27 14:01 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 27? | SELL | 0.07 | $2.73 |