PolyBot

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Traders

0xb3a4ef2157003fc63ba4cf5fad0d45be3fb2e6eb

0xb3a4ef2157003fc63ba4cf5fad0d45be3fb2e6eb

Realised P&L
$-310.42
Volume
$10.1k
Markets traded
594
Open portfolio
$16.51

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded594
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on October 6? · Yes0.1030.125$6.05+$1.05
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on October 6? · Yes0.4530.505$5.57+$0.57
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on October 6? · Yes0.3630.355$4.89−$0.11
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET · Down0.8300.000$0.00−$4.24
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET · Down0.5100.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET · Up0.2600.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET · Down0.8300.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET · Up0.8900.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET · Down0.3400.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET · Up0.7800.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET · Down0.5000.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET · Down0.0100.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET · Up0.8800.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET · Up0.7100.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET · Up0.6910.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-06 01:59Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on October 6?BUY0.3627450923$5.00
10-05 17:05Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on October 6?BUY0.4533716753$5.00
10-05 17:05Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on October 6?BUY0.103270223$5.00
10-05 12:55Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on October 5?SELL0.07$0.85
10-04 16:36Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on October 5?BUY0.4599999669$5.00
10-04 16:36Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on October 5?BUY0.4099999984$5.00
09-30 13:04Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 30?BUY0.7766875673$20.00
09-30 03:39Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 30?BUY0.9456637366$100.00
09-29 14:32Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on September 29?BUY0.8202996806$100.00
09-29 09:28Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 5:25AM-5:30AM ETBUY0.99$10.00
09-28 14:33Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 28?BUY0.8099999741$5.00
09-28 14:07Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 28?BUY0.8299999777$2.60
09-27 15:36Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 27?SELL0.003$0.03
09-27 15:22Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 27?BUY0.02$0.20
09-27 14:01Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 27?SELL0.07$2.73