guzmanangela
0xb3a0faea8161d0c7eeca592a7ee3dc314d2b2891
- Realised P&L
- $-135.12
- Volume
- $24.8k
- Markets traded
- 85
- Open portfolio
- $26.74
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded85
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration76.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-10-19? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.922 | $26.74 | −$0.81 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.62at 0.701Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 50m?
- +$0.68at 0.950Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?
- +$0.63at 0.977Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?
- +$0.42at 0.979Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?
- +$0.38at 0.985Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 14:03 | Will Lighter dip to $1.00 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.64 |
| 01-31 13:34 | Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $13.42 |
| 01-30 15:29 | Will BNB dip to $700 in January? | BUY | 0.9969998754 | $6.01 |
| 01-30 13:04 | Will XRP reach $2.80 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $42.29 |
| 01-30 11:43 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in January? | BUY | 0.998 | $39.82 |
| 12-30 10:06 | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.66 |
| 12-30 09:38 | Will XRP reach $3.50 before 2026? | BUY | 0.9979999751 | $26.78 |
| 12-29 22:03 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9939999966 | $14.55 |
| 12-29 20:28 | Will Trump pardon Matt Gaetz in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $50.47 |
| 10-30 21:53 | Will Alibaba have the best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $34.68 |
| 10-30 19:21 | Will XRP reach $3.80 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $26.94 |
| 09-29 14:25 | Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30? | BUY | 0.9989999601 | $11.53 |
| 09-29 04:23 | Will Alibaba have the top AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.39 |
| 09-29 03:50 | Will Google have the top AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.9787757178 | $19.42 |
| 09-29 01:18 | Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in September? | BUY | 0.998 | $14.34 |