0xb39fe4d4f5cf657c0c9839a7ceacd2beb5297192
0xb39fe4d4f5cf657c0c9839a7ceacd2beb5297192
- Realised P&L
- $24.81
- Volume
- $333.38
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $14.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration37.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)61.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Egypt vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.440 | 0.435 | $14.83 | −$0.17 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.06at 0.560Denmark vs. Portugal: Portugal O/U 1.5
- +$13.86at 0.605Will England win on 2026-10-03?
- +$8.29at 0.718Spain vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5
- +$7.42at 0.810Will England win on 2026-09-29?
- +$4.86at 0.779Argentina vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 2.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 03:15 | Egypt vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4399999883 | $15.00 |
| 10-04 03:13 | Argentina vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $26.99 |
| 10-03 14:11 | Spain vs. Czechia: Spain O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.7 | $16.53 |
| 10-03 13:30 | Argentina vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.7399999911 | $20.00 |
| 10-03 12:17 | Spain vs. Czechia: Spain O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.7099999793 | $16.77 |
| 10-03 12:16 | Will England win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $20.00 |
| 10-02 18:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET | BUY | 0.9399999962 | $5.00 |
| 10-02 18:20 | France vs. Italy: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.629999995 | $10.00 |
| 10-02 13:41 | Belgium vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.6699999839 | $10.00 |
| 10-01 17:37 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.4499999843 | $10.00 |
| 10-01 15:37 | Wales vs. Norway: Norway O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.6799999946 | $10.00 |
| 10-01 02:32 | Argentina vs. Bolivia: O/U 3.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $7.26 |
| 10-01 02:31 | Denmark vs. Portugal: Portugal O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $10.00 |
| 10-01 02:25 | Denmark vs. Portugal: Portugal O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.5299999868 | $10.00 |
| 10-01 02:24 | Denmark vs. Portugal: Portugal O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.5299999868 | $10.00 |