PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xb39fe4d4f5cf657c0c9839a7ceacd2beb5297192

0xb39fe4d4f5cf657c0c9839a7ceacd2beb5297192

Realised P&L
$24.81
Volume
$333.38
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$14.83

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar7.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration37.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)61.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Egypt vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 · Over0.4400.435$14.83−$0.17

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-04 03:15Egypt vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5BUY0.4399999883$15.00
10-04 03:13Argentina vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 2.5SELL0.999$26.99
10-03 14:11Spain vs. Czechia: Spain O/U 2.5SELL0.7$16.53
10-03 13:30Argentina vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 2.5BUY0.7399999911$20.00
10-03 12:17Spain vs. Czechia: Spain O/U 2.5BUY0.7099999793$16.77
10-03 12:16Will England win on 2026-10-03?BUY0.5699999886$20.00
10-02 18:23Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETBUY0.9399999962$5.00
10-02 18:20France vs. Italy: O/U 2.5BUY0.629999995$10.00
10-02 13:41Belgium vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5BUY0.6699999839$10.00
10-01 17:37Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.4499999843$10.00
10-01 15:37Wales vs. Norway: Norway O/U 1.5BUY0.6799999946$10.00
10-01 02:32Argentina vs. Bolivia: O/U 3.5SELL0.999$7.26
10-01 02:31Denmark vs. Portugal: Portugal O/U 1.5BUY0.5199999792$10.00
10-01 02:25Denmark vs. Portugal: Portugal O/U 1.5BUY0.5299999868$10.00
10-01 02:24Denmark vs. Portugal: Portugal O/U 1.5BUY0.5299999868$10.00