PolyBot

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Traders

0xb396993aed1f8ff1b9c8307a46961a0c1f81e48e

0xb396993aed1f8ff1b9c8307a46961a0c1f81e48e

Realised P&L
$-3.45
Volume
$259.13
Markets traded
45
Open portfolio
$4.75

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded45
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample42 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · Yes0.2200.320$1.45+$0.45
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $115 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes0.3300.420$1.27+$0.27
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · No0.7800.825$1.06+$0.06
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · No0.7400.680$0.92$0.08
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · No0.3300.016$0.05$0.95

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 06:32Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?BUY0.74$1.00
09-21 10:17Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $115 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.3299998944$1.00
09-20 00:06Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026?BUY0.3099999473$1.00
09-19 15:51Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?BUY0.3299998944$1.00
09-19 15:44Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?BUY0.219999978$1.00
09-19 06:46Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?BUY0.7599999088$1.00
09-18 22:44Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?BUY0.78$1.00
09-18 14:41Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?BUY0.7599999088$1.00
09-18 05:54Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
09-07 10:48US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?BUY0.5$4.00
08-16 01:30Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?BUY0.3899999422$1.89
08-11 13:34Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?BUY0.8$4.00
08-07 00:58Will China's CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026?BUY0.6499999594$4.00
08-06 16:58Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?BUY0.2199999593$4.00
08-05 08:38Allstate (ALL) Q2 property-liability combined ratio <88%?BUY0.5499999587$4.00