0xb394730b35166CCC2d91278B29243Ec8C4dD040E-1773074259966
0xb394730b35166ccc2d91278b29243ec8c4dd040e
- Realised P&L
- $-146.49
- Volume
- $10.0k
- Markets traded
- 2,909
- Open portfolio
- $6.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,909
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 26? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.425 | $6.38 | −$0.68 |
| LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs · Invictus Gaming | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.50 |
| LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 4 Winner · Invictus Gaming | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner · JD Gaming | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.50 |
| LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 3 Winner · Invictus Gaming | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.20 |
| LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs · Invictus Gaming | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.20at 0.490Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
- +$8.22at 0.177LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana
- +$6.51at 0.140Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
- +$5.20at 0.480Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
- +$5.10at 0.490Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 08:44 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $765 Week of September 21 2026? | SELL | 0.33 | $8.42 |
| 09-25 08:15 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.44 | $2.20 |
| 09-25 07:31 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $765 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.43 | $10.96 |
| 09-17 12:40 | LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs | BUY | 0.3 | $1.50 |
| 09-17 12:28 | LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs | SELL | 0.25 | $1.25 |
| 09-17 12:12 | LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs | BUY | 0.3 | $1.50 |
| 09-17 10:51 | LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 10:42 | LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.25 | $1.25 |
| 09-10 04:50 | Will Drake be the top artist for 2026? | SELL | 0.121 | $2.42 |
| 09-09 17:46 | Will Deltan Dallagnol win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election? | SELL | 0.73 | $14.60 |
| 09-09 01:27 | Will Man I Need (Olivia Dean) win Record of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | SELL | 0.24 | $4.80 |
| 08-25 06:08 | Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.3% and 0.5%? | SELL | 0.562 | $11.24 |
| 08-18 11:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET | SELL | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 08-18 11:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET | SELL | 0.15 | $1.50 |
| 08-18 10:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET | BUY | 0.67 | $3.35 |