upup1
0xb38e72dd05e62216bac9ff763fcd3d795e14cdf5
- Realised P&L
- $-5.3k
- Volume
- $312.8k
- Markets traded
- 57
- Open portfolio
- $455.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded57
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.4kat 0.623Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 18?
- +$2.0kat 0.879Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
- +$1.9kat 0.775Bitcoin Up or Down on December 17?
- +$1.2kat 0.850Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?
- +$995.78at 0.659Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-12 04:31 | EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.0215595833 | $10.35 |
| 01-28 15:25 | EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.72 | $295.20 |
| 01-28 14:09 | EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.72 | $216.00 |
| 01-28 14:06 | EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.72 | $100.80 |
| 01-28 13:37 | EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.72319 | $21.70 |
| 01-28 12:09 | EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.72 | $43.20 |
| 01-28 12:09 | EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.72 | $21.60 |
| 01-28 12:03 | EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.72 | $79.20 |
| 01-28 12:03 | EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.7208813559 | $42.53 |
| 01-28 09:50 | EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.72 | $720.00 |
| 01-28 09:49 | EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.72 | $720.00 |
| 01-28 09:49 | EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.72 | $719.28 |
| 01-28 09:49 | EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.72 | $43.20 |
| 01-28 09:49 | EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.72 | $21.60 |
| 01-28 09:43 | EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.72 | $237.60 |