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Traders

upup1

0xb38e72dd05e62216bac9ff763fcd3d795e14cdf5

Realised P&L
$-5.3k
Volume
$312.8k
Markets traded
57
Open portfolio
$455.51

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded57
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.4101.000$235.80+$139.12
StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch? · No0.8500.985$108.35+$14.86
EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch? · No0.7351.000$60.00+$15.90
StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.7600.988$39.52+$9.12
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.5770.040$7.60−$101.94
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes0.6370.021$2.98−$89.72
StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch? · Yes0.0550.006$1.26−$10.23
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting? · Yes0.0340.000$0.00−$1.02
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00−$1.20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 17? · No0.0450.000$0.00−$9.45
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? · Yes0.0860.000$0.00−$25.79
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31? · Yes0.0290.000$0.00−$373.06
Backpack FDV above $3B one day after launch? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$3.90
EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$3.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 18? · No0.0280.000$0.00−$10.51

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-12 04:31EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?SELL0.0215595833$10.35
01-28 15:25EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.72$295.20
01-28 14:09EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.72$216.00
01-28 14:06EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.72$100.80
01-28 13:37EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.72319$21.70
01-28 12:09EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.72$43.20
01-28 12:09EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.72$21.60
01-28 12:03EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.72$79.20
01-28 12:03EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.7208813559$42.53
01-28 09:50EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.72$720.00
01-28 09:49EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.72$720.00
01-28 09:49EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.72$719.28
01-28 09:49EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.72$43.20
01-28 09:49EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.72$21.60
01-28 09:43EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.72$237.60
Trader upup1 · PolyBot Pro