PolyBot

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Traders

0xb38d80e4a3de29072a6ee0c75b36d5e5fba2758b

0xb38d80e4a3de29072a6ee0c75b36d5e5fba2758b

Realised P&L
$-13.29
Volume
$1.0k
Markets traded
34
Open portfolio
$15.54

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded34
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample33 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6800.725$5.33+$0.33
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? · No0.6800.715$5.26+$0.26
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? · Yes0.1110.079$4.95−$2.05
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET · Down0.0100.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET · Down0.3000.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET · Down0.2030.000$0.00−$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET · Down0.5600.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET · Up0.3300.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET · Down0.1000.000$0.00−$4.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET · Down0.0200.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 22:36Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?SELL0.78$11.30
09-25 15:29Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?SELL0.044$1.28
09-23 15:13Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?BUY0.0689999982$2.00
09-22 21:00Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?BUY0.6799999728$5.00
09-22 21:00Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?BUY0.6799999728$5.00
09-22 07:13Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?BUY0.1149999997$5.00
09-22 01:10Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?BUY0.1020236337$2.00
09-22 00:44Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?BUY0.6899999821$10.00
09-22 00:32Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 8:30PM-8:35PM ETBUY0.29999994$1.00
09-22 00:31Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 8:30PM-8:35PM ETSELL0.33$1.57
09-22 00:31Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 8:30PM-8:35PM ETBUY0.2099999895$1.00
09-22 00:28Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 8:25PM-8:30PM ETBUY0.0899999928$1.00
09-22 00:26Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 8:25PM-8:30PM ETBUY0.549999945$2.00
09-22 00:23Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 8:20PM-8:25PM ETSELL0.64$2.28
09-22 00:21Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 8:20PM-8:25PM ETBUY0.2799999664$1.00