selectmax
0xb38aa7d5447fc4c1a587e677ceecdcbaed92123b
- Realised P&L
- $-11.56
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $2.23
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027? · Yes | 0.139 | 0.015 | $2.23 | −$17.77 |
| Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.273 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? · No | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$45.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$46.80at 0.681Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?
- +$18.60at 0.622Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$17.28at 0.790Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?
- +$3.95at 0.958Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31?
- +$1.19at 0.890Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-14 10:28 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6099999949 | $30.00 |
| 07-11 11:42 | EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31? | SELL | 0.1028 | $20.56 |
| 04-09 10:05 | Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2729986726 | $50.00 |
| 04-03 23:39 | EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31? | BUY | 0.13 | $26.00 |
| 03-26 00:32 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | BUY | 0.6699999961 | $45.00 |
| 01-06 20:23 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | BUY | 0.9479999625 | $19.73 |
| 01-06 20:14 | Bitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027? | BUY | 0.1388819947 | $20.00 |
| 01-06 20:11 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January? | BUY | 0.7899999976 | $65.00 |
| 12-05 18:46 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.8899999712 | $9.59 |
| 12-05 18:44 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31? | BUY | 0.9579999915 | $90.00 |
| 12-05 18:44 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31? | BUY | 0.6812110147 | $100.00 |