0xb381FDa162c8cd60217CC3e4D8E59E11019611F8-1772810130419
0xb381fda162c8cd60217cc3e4d8e59e11019611f8
- Realised P&L
- $-5.72
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $5.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.082 | $5.83 | −$4.17 |
| Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Spain? · Yes | 0.023 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Spain? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Spain? · Yes | 0.049 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card) · Ian Machado Garry | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Spain? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.65at 0.184UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
- +$19.88at 0.205UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
- +$17.78at 0.360UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)
- +$7.12at 0.587UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)
- +$2.22at 0.062Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Morocco?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-14 13:18 | UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 21:10 | Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina? | SELL | 0.05 | $2.08 |
| 07-19 18:59 | Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 18:59 | Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina? | BUY | 0.14999994 | $2.00 |
| 07-19 18:58 | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 18:58 | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina? | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 18:58 | Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina? | BUY | 0.1199999808 | $5.00 |
| 07-14 18:33 | Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 07-14 18:32 | Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Spain? | BUY | 0.048999954 | $1.00 |
| 07-14 18:31 | Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Spain? | BUY | 0.022999978 | $1.00 |
| 07-14 18:31 | Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Spain? | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 07-14 18:31 | Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain? | BUY | 0.16 | $2.00 |
| 07-14 18:30 | Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Spain? | BUY | 0.0899999845 | $5.00 |
| 07-11 14:53 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 07-10 20:06 | Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.1475000112 | $2.00 |