PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xb381FDa162c8cd60217CC3e4D8E59E11019611F8-1772810130419

0xb381fda162c8cd60217cc3e4d8e59e11019611f8

Realised P&L
$-5.72
Volume
$1.9k
Markets traded
37
Open portfolio
$5.83

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded37
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample25 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy? · Yes0.1400.082$5.83$4.17
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$2.00
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$1.00
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$1.00
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Spain? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00$1.00
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$2.00
Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Spain? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$5.00
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Spain? · Yes0.0490.000$0.00$1.00
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$1.00
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$1.00
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card) · Ian Machado Garry0.2500.000$0.00$5.00
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Spain? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-14 13:18UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)BUY0.25$5.00
07-19 21:10Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?SELL0.05$2.08
07-19 18:59Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?BUY0.08$1.00
07-19 18:59Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?BUY0.14999994$2.00
07-19 18:58Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?BUY0.1$1.00
07-19 18:58Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?BUY0.089999919$1.00
07-19 18:58Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?BUY0.1199999808$5.00
07-14 18:33Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?BUY0.1$1.00
07-14 18:32Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Spain?BUY0.048999954$1.00
07-14 18:31Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Spain?BUY0.022999978$1.00
07-14 18:31Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Spain?BUY0.0699999363$1.00
07-14 18:31Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?BUY0.16$2.00
07-14 18:30Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Spain?BUY0.0899999845$5.00
07-11 14:53Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.25$5.00
07-10 20:06Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?BUY0.1475000112$2.00