0xb37d9cd50b85d76a846ef3e71b4548573fbaaa9e
- Realised P&L
- $-91.77
- Volume
- $6.8k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $56.21
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration60.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Altman signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30? · Yes | 0.056 | 0.055 | $34.23 | −$0.77 |
| Will Ulises Mejía Haro win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election? · Yes | 0.096 | 0.075 | $10.99 | −$3.01 |
| Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 84-86%? · No | 0.070 | 0.054 | $8.50 | −$2.50 |
| Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.375 | $1.25 | +$0.25 |
| Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the September meeting? · Yes | 0.338 | 0.324 | $0.96 | −$0.04 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · No | 0.105 | 0.029 | $0.28 | −$0.72 |
| No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? · No | 0.014 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$84.99 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 02:28 | Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 84-86%? | BUY | 0.0969999939 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 02:27 | No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.030242427 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 02:25 | No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0195135785 | $30.00 |
| 09-17 02:24 | Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 84-86%? | BUY | 0.0679629605 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 02:23 | No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0119477815 | $50.00 |
| 09-16 13:49 | Will Ulises Mejía Haro win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election? | BUY | 0.1184724735 | $7.00 |
| 09-16 13:47 | Sam Altman signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30? | BUY | 0.0591970511 | $25.00 |
| 09-16 13:46 | Will Ulises Mejía Haro win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election? | BUY | 0.08 | $7.00 |
| 09-16 13:45 | Sam Altman signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30? | BUY | 0.05 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 08:21 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.1053083185 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 07:29 | Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the September meeting? | BUY | 0.3379999865 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 07:06 | Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |