PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

wherewindsmeet16

0xb36a688c1ae41823a3c9c651679d4fce674bee04

Realised P&L
$242.48
Volume
$25.8k
Markets traded
46
Open portfolio
$194.29

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded46
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration53.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample28 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027? · Yes0.8300.890$88.98+$6.00
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? · Yes0.1000.055$27.50−$22.50
China x Japan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1400.033$23.21−$76.78
Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026? · Yes0.3400.110$16.18−$33.82
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? · Yes0.2700.170$12.59−$7.41
China coup attempt before 2027? · Yes0.0350.019$11.40−$9.60
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1410.029$8.07−$31.92
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0940.021$4.10−$14.70
Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31? · No0.0600.022$2.25−$3.75
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX? · Yes0.0540.000$0.00−$5.40
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2320.000$0.00−$20.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$34.00
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15? · Yes0.4890.000$0.00−$24.44
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0860.000$0.00−$8.60
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00−$36.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-11 08:12Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?BUY0.83$8.30
10-11 08:06Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31?BUY0.06$6.00
09-19 13:54Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.037$3.97
09-19 13:54Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.039$4.18
09-19 13:35Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.961$96.10
09-19 13:35Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.037$3.70
09-19 13:35Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.963$96.30
09-19 13:34Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.039$3.90
09-19 12:59Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.39$3.90
09-19 12:59Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.6$6.00
09-19 12:59Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4$4.00
09-19 12:58Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.61$6.10
07-29 06:43Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?BUY0.3399999967$50.00
07-10 15:52US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?BUY0.2699999904$20.00
07-10 15:48Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.2324999921$20.00