PolyBot

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Traders

wherewindsmeet16

0xb36a688c1ae41823a3c9c651679d4fce674bee04

Realised P&L
$109.17
Volume
$25.7k
Markets traded
42
Open portfolio
$156.18

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded42
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration53.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample24 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
China x Japan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1400.055$39.29$60.71
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? · Yes0.1000.075$37.50$12.50
Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026? · Yes0.3400.185$27.21$22.79
China coup attempt before 2027? · Yes0.0350.041$24.30+$3.30
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? · Yes0.2700.155$11.48$8.52
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1410.038$10.91$29.09
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0940.028$5.50$13.30
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX? · Yes0.0540.000$0.00$5.40
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2320.000$0.00$20.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$34.00
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15? · Yes0.4890.000$0.00$24.44
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0860.000$0.00$8.60
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00$36.00
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$7.00
Will Trump visit China by April 30? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-29 06:43Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?BUY0.3399999967$50.00
07-10 15:52US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?BUY0.2699999904$20.00
07-10 15:48Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.2324999921$20.00
06-27 10:24China coup attempt before 2027?BUY0.035$3.57
06-22 23:16Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.02$4.00
06-22 23:15Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.32$32.00
06-14 23:37Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.71$71.00
05-17 22:21Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?BUY0.89$89.00
05-16 01:20Will Putin visit China by May 31?SELL0.98$98.00
05-09 05:19Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.25$12.55
05-09 05:18Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.086$8.60
05-09 05:16Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.023$4.60
05-09 05:13Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.17$34.00
05-09 05:01Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5$38.00
05-09 04:56Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.73$73.00