PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xb365F19a39E95c0d954A48F1F1b234D26AE33fe3-1722028512578

0xb365f19a39e95c0d954a48f1f1b234d26ae33fe3

Realised P&L
$-19.37
Volume
$1.9k
Markets traded
6
Open portfolio
$9.87

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded6
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration72.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Venezuela become 51st state? · Yes0.0430.026$9.87$6.13
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela in 2025? · Yes0.0340.000$0.00$12.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-04 08:55Will Venezuela become 51st state?BUY0.0429438449$16.00
01-03 18:20Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?SELL0.298$1.38
01-03 18:18Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?SELL0.298$43.81
01-03 06:25Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?BUY0.2475155414$29.00
01-03 06:21Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?BUY0.2299999835$7.93
12-18 00:52Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela in 2025?BUY0.0339141944$12.00
11-29 19:41US forces in Venezuela by December 31?BUY0.199983617$29.97
07-29 05:10Will another candidate Win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?SELL0.002$0.66
07-29 04:00Will another candidate Win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?BUY0.005$1.65
07-26 21:38Will Edmundo González win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?BUY0.1899999883$10.19