0xb365F19a39E95c0d954A48F1F1b234D26AE33fe3-1722028512578
0xb365f19a39e95c0d954a48f1f1b234d26ae33fe3
- Realised P&L
- $-19.37
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $9.87
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration72.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Venezuela become 51st state? · Yes | 0.043 | 0.026 | $9.87 | −$6.13 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela in 2025? · Yes | 0.034 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.45at 0.190Will Edmundo González win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?
- +$8.26at 0.244Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?
- +$-0.99at 0.005Will another candidate Win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?
- +$-29.97at 0.200US forces in Venezuela by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-04 08:55 | Will Venezuela become 51st state? | BUY | 0.0429438449 | $16.00 |
| 01-03 18:20 | Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31? | SELL | 0.298 | $1.38 |
| 01-03 18:18 | Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31? | SELL | 0.298 | $43.81 |
| 01-03 06:25 | Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31? | BUY | 0.2475155414 | $29.00 |
| 01-03 06:21 | Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31? | BUY | 0.2299999835 | $7.93 |
| 12-18 00:52 | Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela in 2025? | BUY | 0.0339141944 | $12.00 |
| 11-29 19:41 | US forces in Venezuela by December 31? | BUY | 0.199983617 | $29.97 |
| 07-29 05:10 | Will another candidate Win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.66 |
| 07-29 04:00 | Will another candidate Win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.65 |
| 07-26 21:38 | Will Edmundo González win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election? | BUY | 0.1899999883 | $10.19 |