PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xb35CC6874c55deFbD0A531BB4b8748aCbccA9C7f-1771356281118

0xb35cc6874c55defbd0a531bb4b8748acbcca9c7f

Realised P&L
$27.92
Volume
$2.9k
Markets traded
51
Open portfolio
$18.82

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded51
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration78.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? · No0.3100.315$5.08+$0.08
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.1200.135$4.50+$0.50
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 60% or higher? · Yes0.1800.250$2.78+$0.78
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? · Yes0.0800.075$1.88−$0.13
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? · Yes0.3400.295$1.73−$0.26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.7900.115$1.46−$8.54
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0270.005$0.75−$3.25
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21? · No0.0500.015$0.29−$0.71
Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0160.002$0.28−$2.72
Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0180.002$0.08−$0.92
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$1.00
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30? · Yes0.0460.000$0.00−$2.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April? · Yes0.0290.000$0.00−$5.00
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00−$2.00
Iran closes its airspace by May 31? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-17 19:05Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 60% or higher?BUY0.1799999856$2.00
10-17 19:04Iran full airspace closure by December 31?BUY0.34$2.00
10-17 19:03Iran leadership change by December 31?BUY0.1199999976$4.00
10-17 19:02Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?BUY0.08$2.00
10-17 19:01Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?BUY0.05$1.00
10-17 19:00Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?BUY0.3099999857$5.00
06-10 16:27Iran leadership change by June 30?BUY0.0463423906$4.00
06-10 13:49US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?BUY0.0226628895$2.00
06-10 13:47Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?BUY0.089999919$1.00
06-10 13:46Israel closes its airspace by June 12?BUY0.0865671257$2.00
06-08 05:51Iran closes its airspace by June 30?SELL0.999$5.54
06-07 19:54Iran closes its airspace by June 15?SELL0.361$5.54
06-07 19:54Israel closes its airspace by June 15?SELL0.3$1.01
06-07 19:52Iran closes its airspace by June 8?SELL0.42$1.39
06-07 19:31Iran leadership change by June 30?BUY0.1179999517$2.00