rodriguezand
0xb3546780a40d8091d4d2599947f90a6ae05b8bff
- Realised P&L
- $-59.45
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $3.87
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)29.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will PT win the most seats in the 2027 Chihuahua Congress election? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.125 | $3.15 | −$1.13 |
| Will UTJ win 9-10 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.185 | $0.72 | −$0.37 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.63at 0.410Jets vs. Kraken
- +$7.12at 0.670Clippers vs. 76ers
- +$4.25at 0.290Will PI get the third-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections?
- +$3.47at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down on November 19?
- +$3.38at 0.339Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 09:21 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WV-01 House election by 30%-35%? | SELL | 0.26 | $5.46 |
| 10-06 05:58 | Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.76 |
| 10-02 00:42 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-01 House election by 45%-50%? | SELL | 0.253 | $6.09 |
| 09-30 08:55 | Will Trump not endorse a Party in the 2026 Israeli Election? | SELL | 0.26 | $5.13 |
| 09-29 10:41 | Will Trump not endorse a Party in the 2026 Israeli Election? | SELL | 0.31 | $7.81 |
| 09-26 14:07 | Will Trump not endorse a Party in the 2026 Israeli Election? | SELL | 0.4 | $7.84 |
| 09-25 08:32 | Will Trump not endorse a Party in the 2026 Israeli Election? | SELL | 0.32 | $6.72 |
| 09-20 22:41 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-07 House election by 20%-25%? | SELL | 0.11 | $2.61 |
| 09-13 08:19 | Will UTJ win 9-10 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 02:34 | Will UTJ win 9-10 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.64 | $3.58 |
| 09-07 10:26 | Will Janet Gatehouse win the next Sorell mayoral election? | SELL | 0.56 | $11.76 |
| 08-28 14:10 | Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in September? | SELL | 0.34 | $7.14 |
| 08-27 04:27 | Will Kari Gares win the 2026 Vernon mayoral election? | SELL | 0.65 | $13.65 |
| 08-24 13:17 | Will Styvenson Valentim win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election? | SELL | 0.191 | $1.03 |
| 08-24 10:15 | Will Styvenson Valentim win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election? | SELL | 0.205 | $4.06 |