0xb34f05d0a4c60a25afdcf8015a10c25e55dd18ac
0xb34f05d0a4c60a25afdcf8015a10c25e55dd18ac
- Realised P&L
- $-0.73
- Volume
- $253.75
- Markets traded
- 63
- Open portfolio
- $3.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded63
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30? · No | 0.780 | 0.874 | $1.12 | +$0.12 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.645 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.700 | 0.525 | $0.75 | −$0.25 |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.127 | $0.55 | −$0.45 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.51at 0.227Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of September 28 2026?
- +$3.24at 0.420SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 10?
- +$3.16at 0.420US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
- +$2.86at 0.450Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?
- +$2.75at 0.460Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of September 7 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 15:48 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:43 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 14:12 | Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 05:44 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 11:36 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 03:31 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $360 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 18:50 | Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 10:07 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 14:01 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $162 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 05:07 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $975B by September 30? | BUY | 0.759999696 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 20:08 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 11:47 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 02:39 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in September? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 08:13 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:35 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.749999625 | $1.00 |