trump30
0xb34d7dea955137e0874bdef55c272bde8947557b
- Realised P&L
- $27.96
- Volume
- $5.2k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $160.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.991 | 1.000 | $49.98 | +$0.42 |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.992 | 1.000 | $49.98 | +$0.38 |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy before 2027?-kuQe · No | 0.961 | 0.978 | $39.12 | +$0.68 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March? · No | 0.996 | 1.000 | $21.12 | +$0.08 |
| Base airdrop in Q2 2025? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.51at 0.940Circle IPO in 2025?
- +$3.50at 0.840Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?
- +$2.83at 0.930Tether insolvent in 2025?
- +$2.75at 0.910Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?
- +$2.63at 0.950Will China unban Bitcoin in 2024?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-10 05:26 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March? | BUY | 0.996 | $21.04 |
| 12-16 12:58 | Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $38.49 |
| 12-16 12:56 | Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.991 | $49.55 |
| 12-16 12:56 | Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.992 | $49.60 |
| 09-08 03:53 | Base airdrop in Q3 2025? | BUY | 0.987 | $75.23 |
| 06-27 05:54 | Will OpenAI buy X before July? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.99 |
| 05-29 09:38 | Circle IPO in 2025? | BUY | 0.9399999944 | $70.59 |
| 04-16 08:04 | Will Solana reach $300 in April? | SELL | 0.997 | $1.1k |
| 04-15 06:15 | Will Solana reach $300 in April? | BUY | 0.995 | $567.15 |
| 04-15 06:03 | Will Solana reach $300 in April? | BUY | 0.995 | $497.50 |
| 03-28 12:42 | Tether insolvent in 2025? | BUY | 0.93 | $58.59 |
| 02-18 05:55 | Base airdrop in Q1 2025? | BUY | 0.975 | $10.72 |
| 02-18 05:54 | Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31? | SELL | 0.981 | $37.95 |
| 01-18 06:16 | Will Meta have the top AI model on January 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $22.97 |
| 12-04 03:53 | Will USDC flip USDT in market cap in 2024? | BUY | 0.985 | $11.91 |