PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

trump30

0xb34d7dea955137e0874bdef55c272bde8947557b

Realised P&L
$27.96
Volume
$5.2k
Markets traded
37
Open portfolio
$160.19

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded37
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample32 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.9911.000$49.98+$0.42
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.9921.000$49.98+$0.38
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy before 2027?-kuQe · No0.9610.978$39.12+$0.68
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March? · No0.9961.000$21.12+$0.08
Base airdrop in Q2 2025? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-10 05:26Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?BUY0.996$21.04
12-16 12:58Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.9969999999$38.49
12-16 12:56Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.991$49.55
12-16 12:56Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.992$49.60
09-08 03:53Base airdrop in Q3 2025?BUY0.987$75.23
06-27 05:54Will OpenAI buy X before July?BUY0.999$10.99
05-29 09:38Circle IPO in 2025?BUY0.9399999944$70.59
04-16 08:04Will Solana reach $300 in April?SELL0.997$1.1k
04-15 06:15Will Solana reach $300 in April?BUY0.995$567.15
04-15 06:03Will Solana reach $300 in April?BUY0.995$497.50
03-28 12:42Tether insolvent in 2025?BUY0.93$58.59
02-18 05:55Base airdrop in Q1 2025?BUY0.975$10.72
02-18 05:54Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?SELL0.981$37.95
01-18 06:16Will Meta have the top AI model on January 31?BUY0.999$22.97
12-04 03:53Will USDC flip USDT in market cap in 2024?BUY0.985$11.91