alibbaa
0xb34d50e5a696ec96a0345aa9213306e3b4602a65
- Realised P&L
- $2.6k
- Volume
- $290.5k
- Markets traded
- 3,300
- Open portfolio
- $258.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,300
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration16.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$163.17at 0.326Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
- +$142.70at 0.451Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
- +$132.85at 0.336Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
- +$121.16at 0.448Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
- +$120.76at 0.330Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 07:33 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.39 | $11.70 |
| 08-04 05:56 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.25 | $0.27 |
| 08-04 01:47 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.24 | $0.41 |
| 08-03 18:57 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on August 4? | SELL | 0.71 | $2.80 |
| 08-03 16:53 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.51 | $0.84 |
| 08-03 15:58 | Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.27 | $0.51 |
| 08-03 14:17 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.67 | $121.27 |
| 08-03 12:33 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.78 | $1.34 |
| 08-03 12:32 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.21 | $3.15 |
| 08-03 11:16 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 4? | SELL | 0.546416185 | $17.02 |
| 08-03 11:16 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 3? | SELL | 0.5642517007 | $13.27 |
| 08-03 11:14 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.65 | $11.05 |
| 08-03 11:14 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.66 | $3.41 |
| 08-03 11:13 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.19 | $1.64 |
| 08-03 10:18 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.5 | $0.66 |