sajat5mm
0xb3498d4667506ffc20a9915c3eeb87a15e4b39d8
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $22.5k
- Markets traded
- 202
- Open portfolio
- $26.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded202
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$182.70at 0.443Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
- +$146.68at 0.228Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
- +$118.24at 0.705Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
- +$98.50at 0.343Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
- +$78.42at 0.600Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 22:30 | Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-09-15? | SELL | 0.81 | $6.13 |
| 09-15 19:30 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.9 | $5.69 |
| 09-15 15:43 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.7599999696 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 15:43 | Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.659999963 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 14:12 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999989 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 13:30 | Valencia: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Nastasja Schunk | SELL | 0.2 | $2.38 |
| 09-15 12:30 | Biella: Alex Barrena vs Maxime Chazal | SELL | 0.17 | $2.58 |
| 09-15 12:12 | M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Lorenzo Comino vs Marco Dessi | BUY | 0.9 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 12:12 | Biella: Alex Barrena vs Maxime Chazal | BUY | 0.3299999815 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 11:15 | M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Niccolo Ciavarella vs Gabriele Maria Noce | SELL | 0.73 | $5.88 |
| 09-15 11:12 | M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Niccolo Ciavarella vs Gabriele Maria Noce | BUY | 0.6199999628 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 10:42 | Valencia: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Nastasja Schunk | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 02:42 | Spread: Bills (-4.5) | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 18:13 | Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6799999728 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 17:00 | Will "Widow's Bay" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? | SELL | 0.1 | $1.79 |