0xb3487b827b4feeed693a6963c1a2a8df78996434
0xb3487b827b4feeed693a6963c1a2a8df78996434
- Realised P&L
- $-34.32
- Volume
- $3.0k
- Markets traded
- 736
- Open portfolio
- $48.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded736
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.80at 0.500Will the highest temperature in London be between 61-62°F on October 30?
- +$0.92at 0.792Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3AM ET
- +$0.72at 0.831Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5AM ET
- +$0.48at 0.878Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8PM ET
- +$0.41at 0.894Solana Up or Down - October 23, 8AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 08:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3AM ET | BUY | 0.9989998681 | $3.53 |
| 10-31 21:00 | Will Houthis target Syria by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $3.54 |
| 10-31 21:00 | Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.54 |
| 10-31 16:59 | Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.20T and $1.30T at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.9899998825 | $3.54 |
| 10-31 15:56 | Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $3.53 |
| 10-31 15:56 | Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $3.53 |
| 10-30 23:58 | Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.54 |
| 10-30 19:58 | Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $585 end of October? | BUY | 0.999 | $0.97 |
| 10-30 19:56 | Will Apple (AAPL) close above $360 end of October? | BUY | 0.998 | $3.53 |
| 10-30 10:56 | Solana Up or Down - October 30, 6AM ET | BUY | 0.9879999989 | $3.53 |
| 10-30 05:56 | Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be less than or equal to 0.0%? | BUY | 0.9969999622 | $3.53 |
| 10-30 03:56 | Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.54 |
| 10-30 02:56 | XRP Up or Down - October 29, 10PM ET | BUY | 0.999 | $3.54 |
| 10-29 23:58 | Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.9969999997 | $3.54 |
| 10-28 23:56 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $2.95 |