PolyBot

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Traders

0xb3487b827b4feeed693a6963c1a2a8df78996434

0xb3487b827b4feeed693a6963c1a2a8df78996434

Realised P&L
$-34.32
Volume
$3.0k
Markets traded
736
Open portfolio
$48.19

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded736
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.985$4.09−$0.06
Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.980$4.07−$0.08
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · No0.9990.966$4.01−$0.14
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · No0.9990.966$4.01−$0.14
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? · No0.9990.992$3.51−$0.03
Will Houthis target Syria by October 31, 2026? · No0.9950.986$3.51−$0.03
Will Ivica Dačić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · No0.9991.000$3.48+$0.00
Will Ainārs Šlesers be the next Prime Minister of Latvia? · No0.9980.997$3.45−$0.00
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · No0.9960.986$3.44−$0.03
Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.20T and $1.30T at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.9900.961$3.43−$0.11
Will Andris Šuvajevs be the next Prime Minister of Latvia? · No0.9990.993$3.43−$0.02
Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 29, 2026? · Yes0.9990.936$3.32−$0.22
Will Andris Kulbergs be the next Prime Minister of Latvia? · Yes0.9950.950$3.29−$0.16
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · Yes0.9990.276$1.14−$3.01
Will Trump make no endorsement for NYC Mayor? · Yes0.9960.000$0.00−$5.56

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 08:56Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3AM ETBUY0.9989998681$3.53
10-31 21:00Will Houthis target Syria by October 31, 2026?BUY0.995$3.54
10-31 21:00Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?BUY0.999$3.54
10-31 16:59Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.20T and $1.30T at the end of October 2026?BUY0.9899998825$3.54
10-31 15:56Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.998$3.53
10-31 15:56Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.995$3.53
10-30 23:58Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 30, 2026?BUY0.999$3.54
10-30 19:58Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $585 end of October?BUY0.999$0.97
10-30 19:56Will Apple (AAPL) close above $360 end of October?BUY0.998$3.53
10-30 10:56Solana Up or Down - October 30, 6AM ETBUY0.9879999989$3.53
10-30 05:56Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be less than or equal to 0.0%?BUY0.9969999622$3.53
10-30 03:56Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 29, 2026?BUY0.999$3.54
10-30 02:56XRP Up or Down - October 29, 10PM ETBUY0.999$3.54
10-29 23:58Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 29, 2026?BUY0.9969999997$3.54
10-28 23:56Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 28, 2026?BUY0.997$2.95