MaxLo618
0xb32f6dbb53a37d7bf4875d7b5bb3f1bc7e516993
- Realised P&L
- $-669.61
- Volume
- $40.5k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $923.77
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration27.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? · Yes | 0.118 | 0.125 | $923.77 | +$49.85 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$162.32at 0.570Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
- +$127.88at 0.751Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
- +$106.23at 0.730Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$71.44at 0.614Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
- +$68.57at 0.420Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 19:47 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.1419693979 | $362.26 |
| 09-07 05:59 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.1057521003 | $511.68 |
| 09-03 05:13 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | SELL | 0.1098965601 | $549.70 |
| 07-17 12:17 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.1051470978 | $525.94 |
| 07-17 12:15 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.48 | $548.57 |
| 07-15 16:30 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.4199999998 | $480.00 |
| 07-15 16:29 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | SELL | 0.87 | $479.64 |
| 07-07 15:45 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.7599999998 | $419.00 |
| 07-07 15:44 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL | 0.93 | $419.31 |
| 06-12 07:52 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.5699999993 | $257.00 |
| 06-12 07:50 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.85 | $257.44 |
| 05-29 19:09 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6141229087 | $186.00 |
| 05-29 19:06 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | SELL | 0.2349309417 | $190.30 |
| 05-26 17:14 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4099999995 | $332.12 |
| 05-26 17:12 | Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | SELL | 0.6 | $347.21 |