PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

apein1

0xb32da991a448deceef0486ee3c17e6a964d8882b

Realised P&L
$322.00
Volume
$14.0k
Markets traded
9
Open portfolio
$511.32

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded9
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration52.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
New pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.1060.055$511.32$477.28
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? · Yes0.1490.000$0.00$62.71
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$14.00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$16.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-07 16:01New pandemic in 2026?BUY0.13$58.50
05-07 15:58New pandemic in 2026?BUY0.13$65.00
05-07 15:58New pandemic in 2026?BUY0.13$65.00
04-20 10:06US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?BUY0.15$45.00
04-20 10:06US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?BUY0.15$15.00
04-20 10:06US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?BUY0.34$34.00
03-26 15:49Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?BUY0.07$14.00
03-26 15:44US forces enter Iran by March 31?SELL0.24$108.00
03-26 15:43US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?BUY0.3$60.00
03-26 15:41US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?BUY0.3$90.00
03-20 19:23US forces enter Iran by March 31?BUY0.22$99.00
02-27 13:38US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?BUY0.3$60.00