apein1
0xb32da991a448deceef0486ee3c17e6a964d8882b
- Realised P&L
- $322.00
- Volume
- $14.0k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $511.32
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New pandemic in 2026? · Yes | 0.106 | 0.055 | $511.32 | −$477.28 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? · Yes | 0.149 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$62.71 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.00 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$563.00at 0.296US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$427.98at 0.287US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
- +$77.00at 0.230US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$9.00at 0.220US forces enter Iran by March 31?
- +$-184.99at 0.331US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-07 16:01 | New pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $58.50 |
| 05-07 15:58 | New pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $65.00 |
| 05-07 15:58 | New pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $65.00 |
| 04-20 10:06 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $45.00 |
| 04-20 10:06 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $15.00 |
| 04-20 10:06 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.34 | $34.00 |
| 03-26 15:49 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March? | BUY | 0.07 | $14.00 |
| 03-26 15:44 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.24 | $108.00 |
| 03-26 15:43 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | BUY | 0.3 | $60.00 |
| 03-26 15:41 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | BUY | 0.3 | $90.00 |
| 03-20 19:23 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.22 | $99.00 |
| 02-27 13:38 | US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $60.00 |