SIMO-HAYHA
0xb32b48fd9b5e214ef9a6a8d67a80103b214f4a7a
- Realised P&L
- $507.47
- Volume
- $98.5k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $43.3k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration87.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · No | 0.534 | 0.605 | $12.2k | +$1.4k |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.243 | 0.632 | $8.6k | +$5.3k |
| Will Jorginho Mello win the Governor of Santa Catarina election? · Yes | 0.890 | 0.996 | $7.0k | +$738.68 |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes | 0.925 | 0.958 | $6.0k | +$204.81 |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.595 | $4.0k | +$437.27 |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? · No | 0.936 | 0.959 | $2.9k | +$67.19 |
| Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? · No | 0.950 | 0.968 | $1.6k | +$28.96 |
| Will the Republicans win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026? · No | 0.940 | 0.974 | $973.50 | +$33.50 |
| Will the Democrats win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.970 | $69.73 | +$2.12 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$382.00at 0.964Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?
- +$50.96at 0.983Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?
- +$2.00at 0.920Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?
- +$-0.95at 0.970Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 18:33 | Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.54 | $5.0k |
| 08-25 00:25 | Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? | BUY | 0.9679026792 | $893.40 |
| 08-14 05:11 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.54 | $45.90 |
| 08-14 05:08 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.53 | $281.89 |
| 08-14 05:06 | Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5248826603 | $1.6k |
| 08-03 03:33 | Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.983 | $58.13 |
| 07-17 15:34 | Will Jorginho Mello win the Governor of Santa Catarina election? | BUY | 0.8899746429 | $6.2k |
| 07-16 21:21 | Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.9388857767 | $1.1k |
| 07-16 21:21 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.9376372463 | $929.98 |
| 07-16 13:04 | Will the Democrats win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $67.60 |
| 07-15 18:44 | Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.6k |