0xb32531eFbe71c0f96a7B3C0307f38045c30ecD5C-1772957337787
0xb32531efbe71c0f96a7b3c0307f38045c30ecd5c
- Realised P&L
- $7.57
- Volume
- $86.41
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $1.86
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar8.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.230 | $1.06 | −$1.10 |
| Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by March 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.450 | $0.80 | −$0.20 |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.57 |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.29 |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.92 |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25? · No | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.39 |
| Bruins vs. Penguins · Bruins | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.03 |
| Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.25 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.73at 0.409Cavaliers vs. Magic
- +$2.47at 0.350Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
- +$1.72at 0.447Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals
- +$1.59at 0.560Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
- +$1.57at 0.650Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 19:26 | Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? | BUY | 0.4699999674 | $2.16 |
| 08-29 23:54 | Will Zcash reach $900 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.13 |
| 08-22 18:08 | Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.5599998432 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 16:20 | Will England win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.7699999465 | $2.59 |
| 06-27 12:52 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.5599998948 | $1.49 |
| 06-23 09:07 | Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.6899999801 | $1.73 |
| 06-22 15:49 | Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.7399999257 | $2.39 |
| 06-21 14:56 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.57 |
| 06-20 14:41 | Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | BUY | 0.6799999578 | $1.29 |
| 05-18 10:12 | Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.59 | $1.77 |
| 05-17 13:25 | Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians | BUY | 0.6099999164 | $1.97 |
| 05-16 13:17 | Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | BUY | 0.6499997997 | $2.92 |
| 05-15 09:45 | Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals | BUY | 0.4399998715 | $1.37 |
| 05-14 17:35 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.26 | $1.30 |
| 05-10 13:08 | Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.547999979 | $1.98 |