PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xb32531eFbe71c0f96a7B3C0307f38045c30ecD5C-1772957337787

0xb32531efbe71c0f96a7b3c0307f38045c30ecd5c

Realised P&L
$7.57
Volume
$86.41
Markets traded
27
Open portfolio
$1.86

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar8.8%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded27
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample18 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? · Yes0.4700.230$1.06−$1.10
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.5600.450$0.80−$0.20
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$2.57
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? · Yes0.6800.000$0.00−$1.29
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00−$1.92
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25? · No0.7400.000$0.00−$2.39
Bruins vs. Penguins · Bruins0.4700.000$0.00−$2.03
Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic? · Yes0.7500.000$0.00−$1.25
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00−$1.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 19:26Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?BUY0.4699999674$2.16
08-29 23:54Will Zcash reach $900 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8$1.13
08-22 18:08Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by March 31, 2027?BUY0.5599998432$1.00
06-30 16:20Will England win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.7699999465$2.59
06-27 12:52Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.5599998948$1.49
06-23 09:07Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?BUY0.6899999801$1.73
06-22 15:49Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.7399999257$2.39
06-21 14:56Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.5$2.57
06-20 14:41Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?BUY0.6799999578$1.29
05-18 10:12Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.59$1.77
05-17 13:25Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland GuardiansBUY0.6099999164$1.97
05-16 13:17Iran closes its airspace by May 31?BUY0.6499997997$2.92
05-15 09:45Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington NationalsBUY0.4399998715$1.37
05-14 17:35Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?BUY0.26$1.30
05-10 13:08Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.547999979$1.98