PolyBot

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Traders

BRANIGAN115

0xb3083f01b6197c38371fdcc613f8c3da405f02f4

Realised P&L
$-354.42
Volume
$31.7k
Markets traded
200
Open portfolio
$117.39

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded200
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on September 29? · Yes0.0410.055$11.96+$2.96
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 29? · No0.7700.825$10.03+$0.67
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on September 29? · No0.7800.825$10.03+$0.55
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on September 29? · No0.7000.690$9.80−$0.14
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on September 29? · No0.7300.740$9.75+$0.13
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 29? · No0.6400.640$9.75+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 29? · Yes0.6700.650$9.70−$0.30
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 29? · No0.6600.665$9.45+$0.07
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on September 29? · No0.7000.665$9.44−$0.50
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 29? · No0.5900.580$9.44−$0.16
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on September 29? · No0.7300.710$9.36−$0.26
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 29? · No0.6300.570$8.69−$0.91
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00−$4.95
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET · Down0.5600.000$0.00−$2.90
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET · Down0.3300.000$0.00−$25.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 16:37Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 29?SELL0.59$8.99
09-28 16:33Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 29?BUY0.6699999839$10.00
09-28 16:33Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 29?SELL0.33$7.08
09-28 16:32Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on September 29?SELL0.0443841041$3.14
09-28 11:56Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on September 29?BUY0.0413931397$9.00
09-28 11:22Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on September 29?BUY0.7299999901$9.62
09-28 11:22Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 29?BUY0.6299999685$9.60
09-28 11:21Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 29?BUY0.64$9.75
09-28 11:21Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 29?BUY0.6599999634$9.38
09-28 11:21Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on September 29?BUY0.7299999552$9.62
09-28 11:21Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 29?BUY0.449999993$9.66
09-28 11:21Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on September 29?BUY0.1399999994$9.90
09-28 11:21Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on September 29?BUY0.7$9.94
09-28 11:21Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 29?BUY0.7699999465$9.36
09-28 11:15Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 29?BUY0.6499999672$9.90