PolyBot

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Traders

lilesto2

0xb3078bcc1266252ed38f9c509dd0d70e1a709c25

Realised P&L
$-38.9k
Volume
$1.40M
Markets traded
4,068
Open portfolio
$21.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded4,068
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration26.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration82.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 07:24Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of November 2 above $3.50?BUY0.98$49.00
11-01 07:22Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $4.00-$5.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 2 – Nov 6?BUY0.99$99.00
11-01 07:22Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $5.00-$6.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 2 – Nov 6?BUY0.99$99.00
11-01 07:22Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $8.00-$9.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 2 – Nov 6?BUY0.99$99.00
11-01 07:22Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 2 – Nov 6?BUY0.98$49.00
11-01 07:22Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $6.00-$7.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 2 – Nov 6?BUY0.98$49.00
11-01 07:22Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $9.00-$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 2 – Nov 6?BUY0.96$23.99
11-01 07:19Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of November 2 above $40?BUY0.99$198.00
10-30 11:21Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in October?BUY0.999$137.86
10-30 11:21Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $256 in October?BUY0.999$110.89
10-30 11:21Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $272 in October?BUY0.999$110.89
10-30 11:20Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $288 in October?BUY0.999$149.85
10-30 11:19Will Meta (META) close above $760 end of October?BUY0.999$72.43
10-30 11:19Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $800 in October?BUY0.999$149.85
10-30 11:18Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $880 in October?BUY0.99$162.06