lilesto2
0xb3078bcc1266252ed38f9c509dd0d70e1a709c25
- Realised P&L
- $-38.9k
- Volume
- $1.40M
- Markets traded
- 4,068
- Open portfolio
- $21.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,068
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration26.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.375Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of September 28 2026?
- +$551.10at 0.519Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $210 in October?
- +$490.00at 0.020Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $700 in September?
- +$399.50at 0.429Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $213 Week of October 12 2026?
- +$391.50at 0.130Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $350 Week of July 27 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 07:24 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of November 2 above $3.50? | BUY | 0.98 | $49.00 |
| 11-01 07:22 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $4.00-$5.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 2 – Nov 6? | BUY | 0.99 | $99.00 |
| 11-01 07:22 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $5.00-$6.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 2 – Nov 6? | BUY | 0.99 | $99.00 |
| 11-01 07:22 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $8.00-$9.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 2 – Nov 6? | BUY | 0.99 | $99.00 |
| 11-01 07:22 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 2 – Nov 6? | BUY | 0.98 | $49.00 |
| 11-01 07:22 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $6.00-$7.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 2 – Nov 6? | BUY | 0.98 | $49.00 |
| 11-01 07:22 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $9.00-$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 2 – Nov 6? | BUY | 0.96 | $23.99 |
| 11-01 07:19 | Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of November 2 above $40? | BUY | 0.99 | $198.00 |
| 10-30 11:21 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $137.86 |
| 10-30 11:21 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $256 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $110.89 |
| 10-30 11:21 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $272 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $110.89 |
| 10-30 11:20 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $288 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $149.85 |
| 10-30 11:19 | Will Meta (META) close above $760 end of October? | BUY | 0.999 | $72.43 |
| 10-30 11:19 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $800 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $149.85 |
| 10-30 11:18 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $880 in October? | BUY | 0.99 | $162.06 |